Week 4Half-PPR · Rest of SeasonUpdated October 1, 2026

This is the Week 4 edition · latest is Week 6

Week 4 · Half-PPR · Top 150

Week 4 Fantasy Football Rest-of-Season Rankings (2026)

Movement shown against the prior week. Tiers drawn at value cliffs, not even buckets.

UpdatedWed Sep 30, 11:00 PM ET

Reviewed by Costa Angelakis

The Tiers

18.1

15.2

14.5

14.4

11.4

13.1

11.7

10.8

10.5

9.8

6.2

GOATs7

The10

can't9

on12

Potential7

starters12

breakouts..7

ambiguity13

Flex10

Safe10

Flex9

Floor12

Dart32

Width is tier size · height is average projected PPG · the drops between bars are the value cliffs

150 players · 13 tiers

#	Model	Player	Pos	Tm	PPG	Chg	Risk
GOATscliff: 2.2 PPG over replacement
1	1	Jahmyr GibbsBell cowPass-down role	RB	DET	22.0	—	Low
2	3	Bijan RobinsonBell cowPass-down role	RB	ATL	19.4	—	Low
3	8	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaAlpha target	WR	SEA	15.5	—	Low
4	4	Ja'Marr ChaseAlpha target	WR	CIN	16.7	—	Low
5	5	Jonathan TaylorBell cow	RB	IND	18.5	—	Low
6	12	Amon-Ra St. BrownAlpha target	WR	DET	14.3	—	Low
7	2	Kenneth Walker IIIBell cowPass-down role	RB	KC	20.1	—	Medium
The best of the bestcliff: -0.3 PPG over replacement
8	7	James CookBell cowPass-down role	RB	BUF	17.9	—	Low
9	11	Christian McCaffreyLead backPass-down role	RB	SF	16.6	—	High
10	26	CeeDee LambAlpha target	WR	DAL	12.9	—	Low
11	45	Brock BowersAlpha target	TE	LV	12.3	▲ 11	Low
12	22	Trey McBrideAlpha target	TE	ARI	13.8	—	Low
13	20	Derrick HenryBell cow	RB	BAL	15.2	—	Medium
14	6	Puka NacuaAlpha target	WR	LAR	16.3	▼ 3	High
15	29	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	21.2	▼ 1	Low
16	46	Chris OlaveAlpha target	WR	NO	11.6	—	Medium
17	16	Justin JeffersonAlpha target	WR	MIN	13.9	▼ 2	Low
can't cut list!cliff: -0.1 PPG over replacement
18	13	Ashton JeantyBell cowPass-down role	RB	LV	16.3	▼ 1	Low
19	9	Chase BrownBell cowPass-down role	RB	CIN	17.3	▼ 1	Low
20	21	Saquon BarkleyBell cowPass-down role	RB	PHI	15.2	—	Medium
21	38	Drake LondonAlpha target	WR	ATL	12.0	▲ 20	Medium
22	44	Jeremiyah LoveBell cow	RB	ARI	13.7	▲ 17	High
23	15	Kyren WilliamsLead backPass-down role	RB	LAR	16.1	▲ 1	Low
24	30	Javonte WilliamsBell cow	RB	DAL	14.8	▼ 1	Low
25	35	Garrett WilsonAlpha target	WR	NYJ	12.5	▲ 1	Medium
26	34	Nico CollinsAlpha target	WR	HOU	12.5	▼ 5	Low
on the verge of uncuttablecliff: 5.7 PPG over replacement
27	33	D'Andre SwiftLead backPass-down role	RB	CHI	14.7	▲ 1	Medium
28	31	Parker WashingtonAlpha target	WR	JAX	12.7	▲ 1	Medium
29	17	Christian WatsonAlpha target	WR	GB	13.9	▲ 1	High
30	19	DeVonta SmithAlpha target	WR	PHI	13.3	▼ 5	Low
31	40	Lamar JacksonDual threat	QB	BAL	20.3	—	Low
32	28	Zay FlowersAlpha target	WR	BAL	12.8	▲ 1	Low
33	39	George PickensVolume WR2	WR	DAL	11.9	▲ 1	Low
34	18	Omarion HamptonBell cowPass-down role	RB	LAC	15.8	▼ 15	Low
35	24	Davante AdamsAlpha target	WR	LAR	13.0	▲ 1	Medium
36	51	Breece HallLead backPass-down role	RB	NYJ	12.8	▼ 9	Medium
37	14	Bucky IrvingLead backPass-down role	RB	TB	16.2	▲ 1	Medium
38	10	Tee HigginsAlpha target	WR	CIN	15.0	▲ 4	Medium
Potential stars, with questionscliff: 1.6 PPG over replacement
39	74	Jaylen WaddleVolume WR2	WR	DEN	9.3	▼ 4	Medium
40	42	Malik NabersAlpha target	WR	NYG	11.7	▼ 3	High
41	61	Tetairoa McMillanVolume WR2	WR	CAR	10.0	▼ 1	Low
42	27	A.J. BrownAlpha target	WR	NE	12.9	▲ 3	Medium
43	59	Dalton KincaidFeatured TE	TE	BUF	10.8	▲ 3	Low
44	52	Tyler WarrenAlpha target	TE	IND	11.4	▲ 5	Low
45	48	Cam SkatteboLead back	RB	NYG	13.5	▲ 7	High
starters I am very content withcliff: 3.1 PPG over replacement
46	63	Matthew GoldenVolume WR2	WR	GB	9.8	▲ 7	Medium
47	57	Emeka EgbukaVolume WR2	WR	TB	10.2	▼ 4	High
48	62	Ladd McConkeyVolume WR2	WR	LAC	9.8	▼ 1	Low
49	25	DJ MooreAlpha target	WR	BUF	13.0	▼ 1	Medium
50	148	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	14.4	▲ 6	Medium
51	92	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	16.6	▲ 12	Low
52	73	Mike EvansVolume WR2	WR	SF	9.3	▼ 2	High
53	43	Rashee RiceAlpha target	WR	KC	11.7	▲ 1	Medium
54	55	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	18.7	▼ 3	Low
55	53	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	19.0	—	Low
56	83	Bhayshul TutenLead back	RB	JAX	10.8	▲ 2	Medium
57	49	Chuba HubbardBell cow	RB	CAR	13.3	▲ 13	Medium
breakouts.. (if everything goes right)cliff: -2.6 PPG over replacement
58	96	Jalen CokerVolume WR2	WR	CAR	8.2	▲ 1	Low
59	107	David MontgomeryLead back	RB	HOU	9.7	▼ 15	Low
60	23	Luther Burden IIIAlpha target	WR	CHI	13.0	▲ 7	Medium
61	101	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	8.7	▲ 1	High
62	98	TreVeyon HendersonLead back	RB	NE	10.1	▲ 2	Medium
63	67	Jameson WilliamsVolume WR2	WR	DET	9.6	▲ 3	Medium
64	60	George KittleFeatured TE	TE	SF	10.8	▲ 4	High
ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?cliff: -0.9 PPG over replacement
65	32	Jaylen WarrenLead backPass-down role	RB	PIT	14.7	▲ 25	Low
66	36	Michael WilsonAlpha target	WR	ARI	12.2	▲ 11	Low
67	75	Isaiah LikelyFeatured TE	TE	NYG	9.9	▼ 7	Low
68	140	Colston Loveland	TE	CHI	7.0	▼ 7	Low
69	47	Drake Maye	QB	NE	20.0	▼ 12	Low
70	99	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	8.7	▼ 1	High
71	93	Jadarian PriceCommittee	RB	SEA	10.3	▼ 6	Low
72	37	Aaron JonesBell cowPass-down role	RB	MIN	14.1	▼ 1	High
73	119	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR	SF	7.1	▼ 1	High
74	128	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	15.3	▼ 1	Low
75	117	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	7.2	▼ 1	Low
76	138	Blake CorumCommittee	RB	LAR	8.4	▼ 1	Low
77	84	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	17.2	▲ 1	Low
Flex with Benefits?cliff: 1.8 PPG over replacement
78	65	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	18.1	▲ 1	Low
79	91	Travis KelceFeatured TE	TE	KC	8.9	▲ 1	Low
80	66	Terry McLaurinVolume WR2	WR	WAS	9.7	▲ 4	Low
81	94	Stefon DiggsVolume WR2	WR	WAS	8.2	—	Medium
82	82	Romeo DoubsVolume WR2	WR	NE	8.8	▲ 10	Low
83	41	Jordan AddisonAlpha target	WR	MIN	11.8	▲ 10	Low
84	50	Josh DownsAlpha target	WR	IND	10.9	▲ 13	Medium
85	70	DK MetcalfVolume WR2	WR	PIT	9.4	▼ 2	Low
86	58	Quinshon JudkinsLead backPass-down role	RB	CLE	12.2	▼ 1	High
87	102	Rhamondre StevensonCommittee	RB	NE	10.0	▲ 2	Low
Safe starters - Capped ceilingcliff: -0.9 PPG over replacement
88	144	Tyler Shough	QB	NO	14.6	▲ 19	Low
89	80	Carnell TateVolume WR2	WR	TEN	8.9	▲ 9	Low
90	54	Ollie Gordon IILead backPass-down role	RB	MIA	12.5	NEW
91	125	Jacory Croskey-MerrittLead back	RB	WAS	8.9	▼ 3	Medium
92	189	Kyle MonangaiCommittee	RB	CHI	6.4	▼ 1	High
93	72	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	17.8	▲ 1	Low
94	76	Quentin JohnstonVolume WR2	WR	LAC	9.2	▼ 8	Low
95	86	Jared Goff	QB	DET	17.1	—	Low
96	222	Kaelon BlackCommittee	RB	SF	4.4	▲ 3	Low
97	88	Chris Godwin Jr.Volume WR2	WR	TB	8.5	▼ 15	Medium
Flex Fill in with Questionscliff: 2.1 PPG over replacement
98	69	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	17.9	▼ 2	Low
99	120	Juwan JohnsonFeatured TE	TE	NO	7.8	▲ 11	Low
100	87	J.K. DobbinsLead back	RB	DEN	10.7	—	High
101	95	Courtland SuttonVolume WR2	WR	DEN	8.2	—	Medium
102	100	Michael PittmanVolume WR2	WR	PIT	8.1	—	Low
103	104	RJ HarveyCommitteePass-down role	RB	DEN	10.0	—	Low
104	89	Jordan Love	QB	GB	16.9	—	Low
105	152	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	5.8	—	Low
106	71	Jakobi MeyersVolume WR2	WR	JAX	9.4	—	Low
Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poisoncliff: 5.2 PPG over replacement
107	116	Woody MarksCommitteePass-down role	RB	HOU	9.3	▲ 4	Low
108	64	Harold Fannin Jr.Featured TE	TE	CLE	10.4	▲ 4	Low
109	81	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	17.3	▼ 1	Low
110	133	Adonai MitchellVolume WR2	WR	NYJ	6.6	▲ 5	Low
111	85	Tony PollardBell cow	RB	TEN	10.8	▼ 2	Medium
112	78	Kyle PittsFeatured TE	TE	ATL	9.6	▲ 1	Low
113	179	Rico DowdleCommittee	RB	PIT	6.9	▲ 1	Low
114	56	Kyler MurrayDual threat	QB	MIN	18.6	▲ 3	Low
115	135	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	ARI	6.5	▲ 1	Low
116	162	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	5.5	▼ 29	Medium
117	105	Khalil ShakirVolume WR2	WR	BUF	7.9	▲ 1	Low
118	113	Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	8.1	▲ 1	Low
Dart Throws
119	225	Braelon AllenCommittee	RB	NYJ	4.3	▲ 17
120	198	Bryce Young	QB	CAR	12.4	▲ 6
121	149	Emmett JohnsonCommittee	RB	KC	8.0	▼ 1	Low
122	141	Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	6.9	—	Low
123	158	Kenyon Sadiq	TE	NYJ	6.3	NEW
124	150	Denzel Boston	WR	CLE	5.9	▼ 1
125	167	Makai Lemon	WR	PHI	5.4	▼ 1	Medium
126	97	KC ConcepcionVolume WR2	WR	CLE	8.1	▼ 1	Medium
127	155	Dontayvion Wicks	WR	PHI	5.8	▲ 3
128	169	Alvin KamaraCommittee	RB	NO	7.3	▲ 3
129	103	Keenan AllenVolume WR2	WR	IND	8.0	NEW	Low
130	176	Caleb Douglas	WR	MIA	5.0	▼ 3	Low
131	114	Tre TuckerVolume WR2	WR	LV	7.4	▼ 3	Low
132	212	Darren Waller	TE	CAR	3.5	▲ 1
133	127	Malik WashingtonVolume WR2	WR	MIA	6.9	▲ 8	Low
134	156	Chris Bell	WR	MIA	5.7	▲ 6	Low
135	165	Rashod Bateman	WR	BAL	5.4	▼ 6
136	192	Rachaad WhiteCommittee	RB	WAS	6.2	▼ 1	Low
137	239	Keaton MitchellCommittee	RB	LAC	3.8	▲ 8
138	111	MarShawn LloydCommittee	RB	GB	9.5	▲ 9	High
139	159	Kenny GainwellCommittee	RB	TB	7.6	▼ 2	Low
140	191	Jaylen WrightCommittee	RB	MIA	6.4	NEW
141	215	Tyler AllgeierCommittee	RB	ARI	4.7	▼ 2
142	137	Oronde Gadsden II	TE	LAC	7.0	▲ 1
143	143	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	6.2	▲ 1
144	204	Mike Washington Jr.Committee	RB	LV	5.2	▲ 4
145	255	Tank BigsbyCommittee	RB	PHI	2.6	NEW
146	232	Brian RobinsonCommittee	RB	ATL	4.0	NEW
147	231	Chris Rodriguez Jr.Committee	RB	JAX	4.1	▼ 1
148	197	Kayshon Boutte	WR	HOU	4.0	▼ 14	Low
149	154	Emanuel WilsonCommittee	RB	SEA	7.8	▲ 1
150	118	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	7.9	▼ 8	Low

Model = where the projection model had him before judgment · PPG = projected half-PPR points per game · badges are computed from the projected share, never typed · cliff = the drop in value over replacement from this tier's last player to the next tier's first · Trend = rank over the last six weeks · Chg =movement vs. prior week · How we build these

On the Cusp

Ten more I'd have in the conversation, in no order.

Player	Pos	Tm	Risk
Antonio Williams	WR	WAS
Devaughn Vele	WR	NO
Kaleb Johnson	RB	GB
Kalif Raymond	WR	CHI
Konata Mumpfield	WR	LAR
Pat Bryant	WR	DEN
Ted Hurst III	WR	TB
Tre Harris	WR	LAC
Tyjae Spears	RB	TEN	Low
Xavier Hutchinson	WR	HOU

IR Taxi Squad

Out for a while, so not ranked this week. The number is his rest-of-season rank if healthy, where he slots the week he's back; the note is why.

Player	Pos	Tm	ROS rank if healthy	Was	Risk
Josh Jacobs Commissioner's exempt list, no timetable (first court date Nov. 17). 38th is where he'd rank if he were playing; the squad is the calendar.	RB	GB	#38	—	High
Jordyn Tyson IR with a designation to return: hamstring, at least four games, about two months per NFL Network. 33rd is the player; the squad is the calendar.	WR	NO	#46	#120	High
Jayden Daniels Dislocated elbow; practicing this week and back within three weeks per Rapoport, Mariota in London Sunday.	QB	WAS	#65	#65	Medium
Jordan Mason Thumb fracture, on IR, at least four games; Aaron Jones has the room until October.	RB	MIN	#74	#77	Low
Alec Pierce Aggravated the surgically repaired heel Sunday night and went on IR Wednesday: at least four weeks, no timetable, and the plan is to return this season.	WR	IND	#75	#75	Medium
Travis Etienne Hamstring in the third quarter against the Raiders; Moore says "time lost," which has meant weeks. 13 for 57 before it; Kamara leads until he's back.	RB	NO	#76	#76	Low
De'Zhaun Stribling Ankle surgery, out close to ten weeks. 80th if healthy is the player; the roster spot is your league's call, and the Ledger says it's fine to drop him.	WR	SF	#80	#144
Dallas Goedert MCL sprain in Week 2, likely out a few weeks. Two scores in Week 1 said the red-zone role is real; 88th is where he comes back.	TE	PHI	#88	#91	Low
Jonah Coleman High-ankle sprain, on IR, first eligible Oct. 25 against Arizona.	RB	DEN	#121	#121
Zach Charbonnet On IR, coming back from the ACL. This is an injury stash, not a role: Price and Holani have the room until he's activated, and the 150th slot is the price of being early.	RB	SEA	#131	#150	High
Jonathan Brooks Core-muscle surgery, on IR, November at the earliest. Hubbard has the backfield.	RB	CAR	#138	#138	Medium
Baker Mayfield Dislocated the thumb on his throwing hand; Bowles says about three weeks. Jalon Daniels starts. Outside the 150 if healthy right now.	QB	TB	#160	#149

The Flags

Risk is a judgment call, not a model output: Low, Medium or High. Every flag comes with the reason.

Kenneth Walker III Medium

The SB MVP - he was the centerpiece of the offense on Monday. He showed why he is so good and the explosive upside in this offense. Jumps a tier immediately.

Christian McCaffrey High

Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.

Derrick Henry Medium

The player you never want to bet against, but he is getting up there in age. Father time is undefeated, and I fear taking young studs over him in case Father time, decides it is time.

#13

Puka Nacua High

Two games missed with the hip; McVay is hopeful for Sunday at Philadelphia. High risk is the hip, not the player. The model has him 6th and he goes back toward it the week he plays.

#14

Chris Olave Medium

Really good this year especially without Tyson to start. He was the WR3 last year down the stretch.

#16

Saquon Barkley Medium

15 carries for 82 back from the stinger, 79% of the backfield, in a 27-7 loss. The Eagles scored 7; the role is intact.

#20

Drake London Medium

10 targets, 9 for 194 with Penix back, after 4 and 5 targets with Rush. The quarterback was the whole problem. Medium risk because it's one game at that share.

#21

Jeremiyah Love High

The split is over: 21 of 27 carries, Allgeier 2, after 11-to-17 and 9-to-5, plus 5 catches and a score. I held him through the slow start; this is why. The model is at 44 and will catch up. I'm not waiting.

#22

Garrett Wilson Medium

13 targets, 10 for 107 and a score; WR10 on my board, and the Jets' offense goes through him with Hall out and Mitchell hurt. Medium risk is a 35-year-old quarterback, not the role.

#25

D'Andre Swift Medium

RB1 in a Ben Johnson offense! Sign me up. We know Swift is talented, and I think he dominates especially as Monangai is week to week.

#27

Parker Washington Medium

Model LOVES Parker. I had to drag him down to account for some of the risk. I think he crushes though. He has the work ethic, and he is playing for a contract. TLaw loves him also.

#28

Christian Watson High

147 yards and two scores on 8 targets. Risk High is the knee history and a target tree with Golden at 12 and Kraft at 6.

#29

Davante Adams Medium

13 targets, 7 for 137 with Nacua out, after 8 for 195. Two weeks as the whole passing game; Nacua's return Sunday is the only reason he isn't higher.

#35

Breece Hall Medium

Quad, week to week, likely out at Chicago. 13 carries for 32 before it. Inside the top 40 because the role is his when he's back; the model's 51 is pricing the week he misses.

#36

Bucky Irving Medium

15 carries for 46, 71% of the backfield, and a run-first month ahead with Daniels at quarterback. The model has him 14th; I'm at 37 because the offense around him just got worse, not because the role did.

#37

Tee Higgins Medium

The model loves Tee Higgins this year as the offense should crush. Let this be his ceiling. He is always hurt, if you told me he would play a full season, I would have him up a tier easily. I don't buy it, so for me he sits with Nabers at questions.

#38

Jaylen Waddle Medium

7 targets, 2 catches for 10 Sunday night after 8 for 138. Nix threw 34 times and found Harvey (7 targets) and Sutton. Medium risk; the week-to-week is wide.

#39

Malik Nabers High

6 targets, 5 for 26 with Winston throwing 22 times in a 12-7 win. Dart is on IR for the year; this is the offense now. High risk is the quarterback.

#40

A.J. Brown Medium

Couldn't ask for much of a better fit for AJB than Maye, as accurate as they get. Health and age are his only questions, but I think he has another good season in him.

#42

Cam Skattebo High

20 carries for 60 and 4 targets, 61% of the backfield, in a 12-7 win. The Giants run with Winston at quarterback; the role is as safe as the offense is ugly.

#45

Matthew Golden Medium

12 of 40 targets in a 42-attempt game with no run game. One game, so I'm a quarter of the way there, not all the way.

#46

Emeka Egbuka High

9 targets, 5 for 62 Sunday, and then Mayfield dislocated his thumb. An undrafted rookie starts for about three weeks. High risk is the quarterback for a month; the targets are still his.

#47

DJ Moore Medium

10 targets, 6 for 67, back from the shoulder; 8 for 100 and a score in Week 1. Josh Allen's first read when he's on the field. Medium risk is the AC joint.

#49

Patrick Mahomes Medium

20 of 24 for 246 and two scores at Miami, after 382; 812 yards and 7 touchdowns in three games. Top-five quarterback on my board; the model is still working off 2025's touchdown rate.

#50

Mike Evans High

6 targets, 3 for 34 and a score on the hip he was questionable with all week. High risk is the hip and the age in a receiver room that's thin with Robinson out.

#52

Rashee Rice Medium

Middle-tier WR2, not the WR5 the volume implied. I am afraid to be wrong.

#53

Bhayshul Tuten Medium

15 carries for 73 and a score; 15, 13, 15 over three weeks, 50% of the carries with Rodriguez at 6 and 8. The explosive back in the pair gets the touchdowns; the split is the ceiling.

#56

Chuba Hubbard Medium

19 of 23 carries for 82 and 4 catches, 83% of the room with Brooks on IR. The job is his for the first time, and Carolina's offense is alive.

#57

Luther Burden III Medium

11 targets, 7 for 61 and a score with Keenum, 32% of the targets. The backup throws to the slot. The model (23) is ahead of me; I want a second game of it.

#60

Tucker Kraft High

6 targets, 65 yards, and he just got paid. Risk High for the health history, not the role.

#61

TreVeyon Henderson Medium

Back from the ankle to 16 of 28 carries and the touchdown; Stevenson 6. The split I expected is already tilting his way.

#62

Jameson Williams Medium

9 targets for 45. The volume behind St. Brown is real; risk Medium is the boom-or-bust shape.

#63

George Kittle High

7 targets, 6 for 82 and two scores; three straight weeks up (5, 4, 7 targets). The slow ramp is over.

#64

Sam LaPorta High

7 targets, 6 catches and a score Thursday after 8 targets in Week 1. Healthy and used; the flag is the history, not the role.

#70

Aaron Jones High

17 carries for 58 and 6 targets for 34, 74% of the backfield with Mason on IR, and the first game with passing-down work (5 catches). High risk is the knee he played through, and the age.

#72

Deebo Samuel Sr. High

No targets Sunday; 2 carries for 14 and the trick-play touchdown. High risk because the role is whatever Shanahan draws up that week, and Kittle and Evans are taking the targets.

#73

Stefon Diggs Medium

9 targets, a touchdown, and 32 years old. The rookie is coming for the second-target job. Risk Medium.

#81

Josh Downs Medium

11 targets for 77 after 9 for 72, with Pierce on IR for at least four weeks. The slot volume is his for a month.

#84

Quinshon Judkins High

12 carries for 33 and 2 targets in an offense that couldn't move. The volume needs the game script and the script isn't coming. Risk High.

#86

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Medium

19 carries for 36 in a 33-31 loss to Seattle, 59% of the backfield. The volume is there; 1.9 a carry in Mariota's offense isn't.

#91

Kyle Monangai High

Ten carries in each game, 100 yards and a score, then 47, behind Swift's 18 and 16. With Caleb week to week and Keenum in line for Monday night, the carries may go up while the points don't; a flex with a High flag.

#92

Chris Godwin Jr. Medium

Mayfield dislocated his throwing thumb and an undrafted rookie starts for about three weeks. 3 catches for 25 on 4 targets Sunday; the floor just dropped for a month.

#97

J.K. Dobbins High

17 carries for 49 back from the hamstring, 68% of the room, with Harvey the passing-down back (2 carries, 7 targets) and Coleman on IR. First in the order; High risk is the medical file.

#100

Courtland Sutton Medium

5 targets for 11; Bryant led the room with 6 and Waddle had 3. Risk Medium: the share is split three ways now.

#101

Tony Pollard Medium

17 carries for 74 and 4 catches, 81% of the backfield; Spears 3. The Titans ran 21 times in a 12-7 loss, so it's a big share of a small pie.

#111

Brian Thomas Jr. Medium

One target and 23 snaps, to Washington's and Meyers's 50, with no injury designation. That's a coaching decision in a 35-6 win. Medium risk until the snaps come back.

#116

Makai Lemon Medium

Missed camp time; slow start, better back half

#125

KC Concepcion Medium

5 targets for 43 plus 3 carries, in a Browns offense that threw 22 times. Risk Medium is the offense.

#126

MarShawn Lloyd High

Talented, but extensive injury history. More of a committee than people expect

#138

If Healthy

Held down or off the board while out. Where each would slot the week he's back: a band, not a rank.

Breece Hall RB · NYJ

Quad, week to week, likely out at Chicago. 13 carries for 32 before it. Inside the top 40 because the role is his when he's back; the model's 51 is pricing the week he misses.

would slot 30–36, back around Week 5

Out for the Season

Off the board for good this year, with the reason. Not the taxi squad: nobody here is coming back to a rank.

Player	Pos	Tm	Why	Was
De'Von Achane	RB	MIA	Torn ACL, out for the season	#32
Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	IR, meniscus; testing showed the knee worse than first thought, likely the season	#78
Jayden Reed	WR	GB	Season-ending neck surgery (not believed to be career-ending)	#122

Fell Off the Board

On the Week 3 board, not on this one. The number is where he was.

Player	Pos	Tm	Was
Antonio Williams	WR	WAS	#132

Biggest Movers

Risers

Jaylen Warren▲ 25

Drake London▲ 20

Tyler Shough▲ 19

Jeremiyah Love▲ 17

Braelon Allen▲ 17

Fallers

Brian Thomas Jr.▼ 29

Omarion Hampton▼ 15

David Montgomery▼ 15

Chris Godwin Jr.▼ 15

Kayshon Boutte▼ 14

Jaylen Warren ▲ 25

He takes a jump after his week 3 performance, over 100 yards and may continue to cement himself with Rico out. I am willing to jump him tiers depending what he shows coming up.

Drake London ▲ 20

10 targets, 9 for 194 with Penix back, after 4 and 5 targets with Rush. The quarterback was the whole problem. Medium risk because it's one game at that share.

The Metrics

OTSOpportunity trend

RCSRole clarity

SFSScheme fit

PGHIPassing health