Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · TEN

Carnell Tate

5 targets, 1 for 6, 14%, a week after 43%; Spears had 9 targets and Ward threw for 170 in a 26-3 loss. One game. Up three on the fallers; the month before it is the better sample.

Volume WR2 Tier 7 · breakouts.. (if everything goes right) Risk · Low
#64Board rank
#73Model rank
WR34Position
73ADP
8.8Proj. PPG
+0.8Over replacement
+9vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #64#65#80#98#89#67#64PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason8164—Slept on. Titans pass a lot
Sep 9Week 18165▼ 1Slept on. Titans pass a lot
Sep 16Week 27880▼ 15Slept on. Titans pass a lot
Sep 23Week 38298▼ 18Slept on. Titans pass a lot
Oct 1Week 48089▲ 9Slept on. Titans pass a lot
Oct 7Week 53167▲ 2212 targets, 9 for 145, 43% of Tennessee's throws; 21% → 29% → 26% → 43%. Ward's first read. Up 22; the model has him 31st. Houston next in a 38.5 total.
Oct 14Week 67364▲ 35 targets, 1 for 6, 14%, a week after 43%; Spears had 9 targets and Ward threw for 170 in a 26-3 loss. One game. Up three on the fallers; the month before it is the better sample.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
131Targets
845Rec yds
4.5Rec TD