Week 1Half-PPR · Rest of SeasonUpdated September 9, 2026

Week 1 · Half-PPR · Top 150

Week 1 Fantasy Football Rest-of-Season Rankings (2026)

Movement shown against the preseason baseline. Tiers drawn at value cliffs, not even buckets.

UpdatedWed 2:00 AM

Reviewed by Costa Angelakis

The Tiers

18.1

16.5

14.4

11.8

12.7

10.6

11.8

11.6

10.2

7.5

7.9

GOATs4

The5

can't14

on11

Potential13

starters7

breakouts..8

ambiguity16

Flex12

Safe9

Flex14

Floor18

Dart19

Width is tier size · height is average projected PPG · the drops between bars are the value cliffs

150 players · 13 tiers

#	Model	Player	Pos	Tm	PPG	Chg	Risk
GOATscliff: 0.5 PPG over replacement
1	1	Jahmyr GibbsLead backPass-down role	RB	DET	19.3	—	Low
2	4	Bijan RobinsonBell cowPass-down role	RB	ATL	18.3	—	Low
3	3	Ja'Marr ChaseAlpha target	WR	CIN	16.8	—	Low
4	5	Jonathan TaylorBell cow	RB	IND	18.0	—	Low
The best of the bestcliff: 4.2 PPG over replacement
5	7	James CookBell cowPass-down role	RB	BUF	17.6	—	Low
6	8	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaAlpha target	WR	SEA	15.8	—	Low
7	9	Amon-Ra St. BrownAlpha target	WR	DET	14.3	—	Low
8	6	Puka NacuaAlpha target	WR	LAR	16.2	—	High
9	2	Christian McCaffreyBell cowPass-down role	RB	SF	18.7	—	High
can't cut list!cliff: 0.6 PPG over replacement
10	17	CeeDee LambAlpha target	WR	DAL	12.8	—	Low
11	10	Justin JeffersonAlpha target	WR	MIN	13.9	—	Low
12	13	Kenneth Walker IIIBell cowPass-down role	RB	KC	15.3	▲ 2	Medium
13	16	Omarion HamptonLead backPass-down role	RB	LAC	14.5	—	Low
14	12	Chase BrownBell cowPass-down role	RB	CIN	15.4	▼ 2	Low
15	11	Saquon BarkleyBell cowPass-down role	RB	PHI	15.4	—	Medium
16	24	Ashton JeantyBell cowPass-down role	RB	LV	13.9	—	High
17	27	Brock BowersAlpha target	TE	LV	12.3	▲ 1	Low
18	25	Trey McBrideAlpha target	TE	ARI	12.6	▼ 1	Low
19	15	A.J. BrownAlpha target	WR	NE	13.0	▲ 1	Medium
20	14	De'Von AchaneLead backPass-down role	RB	MIA	14.8	▲ 1	Medium
21	21	Nico CollinsAlpha target	WR	HOU	12.4	▼ 2	Low
22	23	Derrick HenryBell cow	RB	BAL	13.9	—	Medium
23	22	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	21.3	—	Low
on the verge of uncuttablecliff: 0.9 PPG over replacement
24	30	George PickensVolume WR2	WR	DAL	11.8	—	Low
25	35	DeVonta SmithAlpha target	WR	PHI	11.6	—	Low
26	33	Chris OlaveAlpha target	WR	NO	11.6	▲ 1	Medium
27	32	Garrett WilsonAlpha target	WR	NYJ	11.8	▲ 1	Medium
28	38	Jaylen WaddleVolume WR2	WR	DEN	11.4	▲ 2	Medium
29	26	Drake LondonAlpha target	WR	ATL	12.0	—	Medium
30	28	Malik NabersAlpha target	WR	NYG	11.9	▼ 4	High
31	18	Tee HigginsVolume WR2	WR	CIN	12.8	—	Medium
32	37	Lamar JacksonDual threat	QB	BAL	20.2	—	Low
33	29	Javonte WilliamsLead back	RB	DAL	13.5	▲ 1	Low
34	20	Jeremiyah LoveBell cowPass-down role	RB	ARI	14.1	▼ 1	High
Potential stars, with questionscliff: 1.1 PPG over replacement
35	36	Rashee RiceAlpha target	WR	KC	11.6	—	Medium
36	31	Zay FlowersVolume WR2	WR	BAL	11.8	—	Low
37	49	Colston LovelandFeatured TE	TE	CHI	10.9	—	Low
38	40	Breece HallLead backPass-down role	RB	NYJ	12.8	▲ 1	Medium
39	47	D'Andre SwiftLead back	RB	CHI	12.3	▲ 1	Medium
40	46	Kyren WilliamsLead back	RB	LAR	12.4	▲ 1	Low
41	39	Jadarian PriceLead back	RB	SEA	12.9	▼ 3	Low
42	60	Travis EtienneLead back	RB	NO	11.3	—	Low
43	48	Luther Burden IIIVolume WR2	WR	CHI	10.7	—	Medium
44	52	Emeka EgbukaVolume WR2	WR	TB	10.3	▲ 4	High
45	45	Davante AdamsVolume WR2	WR	LAR	10.9	▼ 1	Medium
46	19	Bucky IrvingLead backPass-down role	RB	TB	14.2	—	Medium
47	43	Tyler WarrenAlpha target	TE	IND	11.3	▼ 2	Low
starters I am very content withcliff: 0.2 PPG over replacement
48	55	Tetairoa McMillanVolume WR2	WR	CAR	9.9	▼ 1	Low
49	53	DJ MooreVolume WR2	WR	BUF	10.2	—	Medium
50	51	Drake Maye	QB	NE	19.2	—	Low
51	58	Ladd McConkeyVolume WR2	WR	LAC	9.9	▲ 1	Low
52	56	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	18.7	▼ 1	Low
53	54	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	19.0	▲ 1	Low
54	41	Parker WashingtonVolume WR2	WR	JAX	11.1	▼ 1	Medium
breakouts.. (if everything goes right)cliff: 1.2 PPG over replacement
55	44	Christian WatsonVolume WR2	WR	GB	10.9	—	High
56	34	Cam SkatteboLead backPass-down role	RB	NYG	13.3	—	High
57	83	David MontgomeryLead back	RB	HOU	10.4	—	Low
58	59	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	18.6	—	Low
59	86	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	8.9	—	High
60	63	Jameson WilliamsVolume WR2	WR	DET	9.6	—	Medium
61	72	Jayden DanielsDual threat	QB	WAS	18.1	—	Medium
62	50	Blake CorumLead back	RB	LAR	12.1	—	Low
ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?cliff: 0.6 PPG over replacement
63	73	Rhamondre StevensonCommittee	RB	NE	10.9	▲ 12	Low
64	91	Rome OdunzeVolume WR2	WR	CHI	8.5	▼ 1	Low
65	81	Carnell TateVolume WR2	WR	TEN	8.8	▼ 1	Low
66	42	Quinshon JudkinsBell cow	RB	CLE	12.7	▲ 1	High
67	105	Bhayshul TutenCommittee	RB	JAX	9.5	▼ 2	Medium
68	67	Mike EvansVolume WR2	WR	SF	9.4	—	High
69	62	Terry McLaurinVolume WR2	WR	WAS	9.7	—	Low
70	165	De'Zhaun Stribling	WR	SF	5.6	—
71	64	Michael WilsonVolume WR2	WR	ARI	9.5	▲ 2	Low
72	79	Jordan MasonLead back	RB	MIN	10.6	▲ 2	Low
73	77	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	17.9	▲ 4	Low
74	68	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	18.2	▲ 2	Low
75	87	Chris Godwin Jr.Volume WR2	WR	TB	8.6	▲ 3	Medium
76	76	Marvin Harrison Jr.Volume WR2	WR	ARI	9.1	▼ 4	Low
77	118	MarShawn LloydCommittee	RB	GB	9.0	▼ 6	High
78	57	TreVeyon HendersonCommittee	RB	NE	11.5	▼ 12	Medium
Flex with Benefits?cliff: 2.1 PPG over replacement
79	70	Jordan AddisonVolume WR2	WR	MIN	9.3	—	Low
80	74	Harold Fannin Jr.Featured TE	TE	CLE	9.5	—	Low
81	80	Alec PierceVolume WR2	WR	IND	9.0	—	Medium
82	66	DK MetcalfVolume WR2	WR	PIT	9.4	—	Low
83	75	Quentin JohnstonVolume WR2	WR	LAC	9.2	▲ 1	Low
84	93	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	17.3	▲ 1	Low
85	96	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	17.2	▲ 4	Low
86	107	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	16.6	▲ 4	Low
87	95	Brian Thomas Jr.Volume WR2	WR	JAX	8.4	▼ 4	Medium
88	92	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	8.8	▼ 1	High
89	85	Jaxson DartDual threat	QB	NYG	17.4	▼ 3	Medium
90	69	Kyle PittsFeatured TE	TE	ATL	9.6	▼ 2	Low
Safe starters - Capped ceilingcliff: 0.7 PPG over replacement
91	124	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	16.1	▲ 1	Medium
92	61	Kyler MurrayDual threat	QB	MIN	18.5	▼ 1	Low
93	98	Stefon DiggsVolume WR2	WR	WAS	8.2	—	Medium
94	104	George Kittle	TE	SF	8.2	—	High
95	100	Courtland SuttonVolume WR2	WR	DEN	8.1	—	Medium
96	82	Romeo DoubsVolume WR2	WR	NE	8.8	▲ 5	Low
97	65	Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	9.8	▼ 1	Low
98	78	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	17.8	▲ 1	Low
99	88	Travis KelceFeatured TE	TE	KC	8.8	▼ 1	Low
Flex Fill in with Questionscliff: 2.1 PPG over replacement
100	106	Matthew GoldenVolume WR2	WR	GB	7.8	▲ 2	Medium
101	183	Isaiah Likely	TE	NYG	5.2	▲ 13	Low
102	94	Jaylen WarrenCommittee	RB	PIT	10.1	▲ 3	Low
103	111	RJ HarveyCommittee	RB	DEN	9.3	▲ 1	Low
104	121	Tony PollardLead back	RB	TEN	9.0	▲ 3	Medium
105	127	J.K. DobbinsCommittee	RB	DEN	8.6	▲ 3	High
106	99	Rico DowdleCommittee	RB	PIT	9.8	—	Low
107	123	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	7.6	▲ 4	Low
108	71	Jordan Love	QB	GB	18.1	▼ 11	Low
109	97	Jared Goff	QB	DET	17.1	▼ 9	Low
110	90	Xavier WorthyVolume WR2	WR	KC	8.5	—	Low
111	112	Jayden Reed	WR	GB	7.6	▲ 2	High
112	101	Michael PittmanVolume WR2	WR	PIT	8.0	—	Low
113	116	Baker Mayfield	QB	TB	16.4	▼ 4	Low
Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poisoncliff: 3 PPG over replacement
114	167	Makai Lemon	WR	PHI	5.4	▲ 6	Medium
115	153	KC Concepcion	WR	CLE	5.9	▲ 6	Medium
116	129	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	6.9	▼ 1	Low
117	156	Jalen Coker	WR	CAR	5.9	▼ 1	Low
118	115	Jonathan BrooksCommittee	RB	CAR	9.2	▼ 15	Medium
119	108	Chuba HubbardCommittee	RB	CAR	9.4	▲ 9	Medium
120	135	Woody MarksCommittee	RB	HOU	8.3	▲ 3	Low
121	152	Kenny GainwellCommittee	RB	TB	7.6	▲ 3	Low
122	131	Josh Downs	WR	IND	6.8	▼ 4	Medium
123	110	Jordyn TysonVolume WR2	WR	NO	7.7	▲ 6	High
124	142	Keenan Allen	WR	IND	6.3	▼ 7	Low
125	122	Jacory Croskey-MerrittLead back	RB	WAS	8.9	—	Medium
126	188	Chris Rodriguez Jr.Committee	RB	JAX	6.3	—	Low
127	84	Wan'Dale RobinsonVolume WR2	WR	TEN	8.7	▼ 8	Low
128	102	Khalil ShakirVolume WR2	WR	BUF	8.0	▼ 6	Low
129	146	Kyle MonangaiCommittee	RB	CHI	7.8	▲ 6	High
130	132	Aaron JonesCommitteePass-down role	RB	MIN	8.4	▼ 3	High
131	114	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	7.9	▼ 1	Low
Dart Throws
132	190	Rachaad WhiteCommittee	RB	WAS	6.3	▲ 4	Low
133	117	Juwan JohnsonFeatured TE	TE	NO	7.8	▼ 2	Low
134	119	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	7.7	▼ 2	Low
135	163	Tyler Shough	QB	NO	14.6	▼ 2	Low
136	168	Kayshon Boutte	WR	HOU	5.4	▼ 2	Low
137	177	Jalen McMillan	WR	TB	5.1	—	Low
138	162	Chris Bell	WR	MIA	5.8	▲ 5	Low
139	159	Adonai Mitchell	WR	NYJ	5.9	▲ 5	Low
140	126	Rashid ShaheedVolume WR2	WR	SEA	7.1	▲ 9	Low
141	89	Deebo Samuel Sr.Volume WR2	WR	SF	8.5	▼ 3	High
142	179	Caleb Douglas	WR	MIA	5.0	▲ 5	Low
143	194	Kaelon BlackCommittee	RB	SF	6.0	▲ 5	Low
144	137	Daniel Jones	QB	IND	15.4	▼ 5	Medium
145	103	Dalton SchultzFeatured TE	TE	HOU	8.2	▼ 5	Low
146	136	Ja'Kobi Lane	WR	BAL	6.7	▼ 5	Low
147	157	Tyjae SpearsCommitteePass-down role	RB	TEN	7.5	▼ 5	Low
148	172	Sam Darnold	QB	SEA	14.1	▼ 3	Low
149	143	Emmett JohnsonCommittee	RB	KC	7.9	▼ 3	Low
150	186	Omar Cooper Jr.	WR	NYJ	4.8	NEW	Low

Model = where the projection model had him before judgment · PPG = projected half-PPR points per game · badges are computed from the projected share, never typed · cliff = the drop in value over replacement from this tier's last player to the next tier's first · Trend = rank over the last six weeks · Chg =movement vs. preseason baseline · How we build these

On the Cusp

Ten more I'd have in the conversation, in no order.

Player	Pos	Tm	Risk
Alvin Kamara	RB	NO
Brenton Strange	TE	JAX	Low
C.J. Stroud	QB	HOU	Low
Chig Okonkwo	TE	WAS	Low
Greg Dulcich	TE	MIA	Low
Hunter Henry	TE	NE	Low
Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	Low
Jalen Nailor	WR	LV
Malik Washington	WR	MIA	Low
Tre Tucker	WR	LV	Low

The Flags

Risk is a judgment call, not a model output: Low, Medium or High. Every flag comes with the reason.

Puka Nacua High

Could win you your league but I prefer JSN and Amon Ra for alphas without the question marks in RD1.

Christian McCaffrey High

Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.

Kenneth Walker III Medium

The SB MVP - he has been one of my guys since flag plant years ago. Now in KC offense, he has the potential to be their first centerpiece at RB since Kareem Hunt. Only thing that may get in his way is injury, hence elevated risk rating.

#12

Saquon Barkley Medium

I think we get one last swan song from Saquon this year, and I feel like I am too low to be frank. New OC, and AJ Brown gone. They are going to need some vintage Saquon.

#15

Ashton Jeanty High

Ankle to start the year; Washington eats more than consensus expects for initial games. I am worried about the offense, but I think that he is a premier talent that ends up shining through and Kubiak knows how to use.

#16

A.J. Brown Medium

Couldn't ask for much of a better fit for AJB than Maye, as accurate as they get. Health and age are his only questions, but I think he has another good season in him.

#19

De'Von Achane Medium

I think Achane is one of the probably 5 most talented backs in the league. This is not about him. Situationally, I hate this MIA offense. No WRs, a mobile QB who may not check down as much, and overall a questionable offense. He is still uncuttable because of who he is, but I am taking others over him for this reason.

#20

Derrick Henry Medium

The player you never want to bet against, but he is getting up there in age. Father time is undefeated, and I fear taking young studs over him in case Father time, decides it is time.

#22

Chris Olave Medium

Really good this year especially without Tyson to start. He was the WR3 last year down the stretch.

#26

Garrett Wilson Medium

Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step forward with Geno. Wilson was dominating last year even in one of the worst passing attacks ever. This should improve this year, and he stands to benefit.

#27

Jaylen Waddle Medium

Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush.

#28

Drake London Medium

The lowest you may see London, but the model agrees. I am worried about this offense, and Tua as a starting QB. You may not like what you see, but his volume makes it harder to drop further to start. He could move up or down a tier quickly.

#29

Malik Nabers High

He is a top tier talent. But, he is coming off an ACL and lateral Meniscus. We have not seen that combo before. He has even admitted he is still regaining his feel. Mix in Matt Nagy as OC - and I am worried. I am willing to take the swing approaching the 4th round, but color me concerned.

#30

Tee Higgins Medium

The model loves Tee Higgins this year as the offense should crush. Let this be his ceiling. He is always hurt, if you told me he would play a full season, I would have him up a tier easily. I don't buy it, so for me he sits with Nabers at questions.

#31

Jeremiyah Love High

High ankle sprain I think he will have a slow start to year. We know the talent though. Generational. We are getting a discount we wouldn't otherwise. Be okay with a slow start, to potentially have a league winner thereafter.

#34

Rashee Rice Medium

Middle-tier WR2, not the WR5 the volume implied. I am afraid to be wrong.

#35

Breece Hall Medium

Much like Wilson, Breece transcended a terrible situation last year. I think it improves this year, and the Jets know it comes through these two players.

#38

D'Andre Swift Medium

RB1 in a Ben Johnson offense! Sign me up. We know Swift is talented, and I think he dominates especially as Monangai is week to week.

#39

Luther Burden III Medium

He was so efficient last year. One thing stuck with me from his rookie year. Preseason last year I was on Rome. And there was a quote that the coaching staff drafted him and sees him as the future WR1 for team. I think that comes to fruition this year.

#43

Emeka Egbuka High

Turf toe concern out of camp - if it was not for that, he would be higher. Turf Toe is one of those injuries I always balk at. And we saw last year how Egbuka struggled coming off injury. I am worried.

#44

Davante Adams Medium

Value at ADP in a top offense. All concerns are age related.

#45

Bucky Irving Medium

I am concerned about Gainwell and Tucker. Bucky is a smaller back, it was always the question, can he sustain the lead? I think Gainwell will take some valuable passing away from him, but ultimately, this was a back we drafted in round 2 last year. He is going too late.

#46

DJ Moore Medium

Josh Allen's number 1.. it could be magic. I don't have him enough places, but he could smash. I think he is being drafted at his floor.

#49

Parker Washington Medium

Model LOVES Parker. I had to drag him down to account for some of the risk. I think he crushes though. He has the work ethic, and he is playing for a contract. TLaw loves him also.

#54

Cam Skattebo High

Post-injury, offseason distraction, bad OC

#56

Jayden Daniels Medium

Bad camp vibes, older WRs, uninspiring run game. Not at his ADP

#61

Bhayshul Tuten Medium

Explosive, but slow start to the season likely

#67

Mike Evans High

Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp