Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
The Ledger
The Ledger, Week 5: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire
The Ledger
The Ledger, Week 4: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire
The Ledger
The Ledger, Week 3: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire
The Weekly Rank™
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
PlayerRunning back · SFUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · RB · SF

Christian McCaffrey

11 for 68 and a score, 3 targets; 46% of the carries, and the receiving share keeps sliding (24% → 19% → 19% → 17% → 11%). High risk is the history. Holding.

Lead backPass-down role Tier 2 · The best of the best Risk · High
#11Board rank
#12Model rank
RB8Position
4ADP
17.2Proj. PPG
+7.2Over replacement
-7vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #9#9#10#9#9#11#11PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason29—Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.
Sep 9Week 129—Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.
Sep 16Week 21010▼ 1Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.
Sep 23Week 3199▲ 1Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.
Oct 1Week 4119—Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.
Oct 7Week 5711▼ 215 for 52 and a score, 5 targets; 43% of the carries (33% → 37% → 65% → 43%) and 17% of the targets, trending down. Black had 6 carries, Purdy 10. High risk is the history; the role is a 60% back, not a 75% one.
Oct 14Week 61211—11 for 68 and a score, 3 targets; 46% of the carries, and the receiving share keeps sliding (24% → 19% → 19% → 17% → 11%). High risk is the history. Holding.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

236Carries
1050Rush yds
9.0Rush TD
90Targets
668Rec yds
5.0Rec TD