Vol. I · No. 1 September 4, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Preseason · Half-PPR · Top 150

2026 Preseason Fantasy Football Rankings — Rest of Season

The baseline. Movement starts with the next edition. Tiers drawn at value cliffs, not even buckets.

UpdatedFri 10:57 PM
Reviewed by Costa Angelakis
The Tiers
18.1
16.5
14.4
13
11.9
13.5
12.7
10.6
12.3
12.1
9
7.4
8.1
GOATs4
The5
can't14
on11
Potential12
starters8
breakouts..8
ambiguity16
Flex13
Safe10
Flex13
Floor18
Dart18
Width is tier size · height is average projected PPG · the drops between bars are the value cliffs
150 players · 13 tiers
#ModelPlayerPosTm PPGTrendChgRisk
GOATscliff: 0.5 PPG over replacement
1 1 Jahmyr GibbsLead backPass-down role RB DET 19.3 Low
2 4 Bijan RobinsonBell cowPass-down role RB ATL 18.3 Low
3 3 Ja'Marr ChaseAlpha target WR CIN 16.8 Low
4 5 Jonathan TaylorBell cow RB IND 18.0 Low
The best of the bestcliff: 4.2 PPG over replacement
5 7 James CookBell cowPass-down role RB BUF 17.6 Low
6 8 Jaxon Smith-NjigbaAlpha target WR SEA 15.8 Low
7 9 Amon-Ra St. BrownAlpha target WR DET 14.3 Low
8 6 Puka NacuaAlpha target WR LAR 16.2 High
9 2 Christian McCaffreyBell cowPass-down role RB SF 18.7 High
can't cut list!cliff: 0.6 PPG over replacement
10 17 CeeDee LambAlpha target WR DAL 12.8 Low
11 10 Justin JeffersonAlpha target WR MIN 13.9 Medium
12 12 Chase BrownBell cowPass-down role RB CIN 15.4 Low
13 16 Omarion HamptonLead backPass-down role RB LAC 14.5 Low
14 13 Kenneth Walker IIIBell cowPass-down role RB KC 15.3 Medium
15 11 Saquon BarkleyBell cowPass-down role RB PHI 15.4 Medium
16 24 Ashton JeantyBell cowPass-down role RB LV 13.9 High
17 25 Trey McBrideAlpha target TE ARI 12.6 Low
18 27 Brock BowersAlpha target TE LV 12.3 Low
19 21 Nico CollinsAlpha target WR HOU 12.4 Low
20 15 A.J. BrownAlpha target WR NE 13.0 Medium
21 14 De'Von AchaneLead backPass-down role RB MIA 14.8 Medium
22 23 Derrick HenryBell cow RB BAL 13.9 Medium
23 22 Josh Allen QB BUF 21.3 Low
on the verge of uncuttablecliff: 0.4 PPG over replacement
24 30 George PickensVolume WR2 WR DAL 11.8 Low
25 35 DeVonta SmithAlpha target WR PHI 11.6 Low
26 28 Malik NabersAlpha target WR NYG 11.9 High
27 33 Chris OlaveAlpha target WR NO 11.6 Medium
28 32 Garrett WilsonAlpha target WR NYJ 11.8 Medium
29 26 Drake LondonAlpha target WR ATL 12.0 Medium
30 38 Jaylen WaddleVolume WR2 WR DEN 11.4 Medium
31 18 Tee HigginsVolume WR2 WR CIN 12.8 Medium
32 37 Lamar JacksonDual threat QB BAL 20.2 Low
33 20 Jeremiyah LoveBell cowPass-down role RB ARI 14.1 High
34 29 Javonte WilliamsLead back RB DAL 13.5 Low
Potential stars, with questionscliff: 2.7 PPG over replacement
35 36 Rashee RiceAlpha target WR KC 11.6 Medium
36 31 Zay FlowersVolume WR2 WR BAL 11.8 Low
37 49 Colston LovelandFeatured TE TE CHI 10.9 Low
38 39 Jadarian PriceLead back RB SEA 12.9 Low
39 40 Breece HallLead backPass-down role RB NYJ 12.8 Medium
40 47 D'Andre SwiftLead back RB CHI 12.3 Medium
41 46 Kyren WilliamsLead back RB LAR 12.4 Low
42 60 Travis EtienneLead back RB NO 11.3 Low
43 48 Luther Burden IIIVolume WR2 WR CHI 10.7 Medium
44 45 Davante AdamsVolume WR2 WR LAR 10.9 Medium
45 43 Tyler WarrenAlpha target TE IND 11.3 Low
46 19 Bucky IrvingLead backPass-down role RB TB 14.2 Medium
starters I am very content withcliff: -0.7 PPG over replacement
47 55 Tetairoa McMillanVolume WR2 WR CAR 9.9 Low
48 52 Emeka EgbukaVolume WR2 WR TB 10.3 High
49 53 DJ MooreVolume WR2 WR BUF 10.2 Medium
50 51 Drake Maye QB NE 19.2 Low
51 56 Joe Burrow QB CIN 18.7 Low
52 58 Ladd McConkeyVolume WR2 WR LAC 9.9 Low
53 41 Parker WashingtonVolume WR2 WR JAX 11.1 Medium
54 54 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 19.0 Low
breakouts.. (if everything goes right)cliff: 2 PPG over replacement
55 44 Christian WatsonVolume WR2 WR GB 10.9 High
56 34 Cam SkatteboLead backPass-down role RB NYG 13.3 High
57 83 David MontgomeryLead back RB HOU 10.4 Low
58 59 Caleb Williams QB CHI 18.6 Low
59 86 Tucker Kraft TE GB 8.9 High
60 63 Jameson WilliamsVolume WR2 WR DET 9.6 Medium
61 72 Jayden DanielsDual threat QB WAS 18.1 Medium
62 50 Blake CorumLead back RB LAR 12.1 Low
ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?cliff: -0.8 PPG over replacement
63 91 Rome OdunzeVolume WR2 WR CHI 8.5 Low
64 81 Carnell TateVolume WR2 WR TEN 8.8 Low
65 105 Bhayshul TutenCommittee RB JAX 9.5 Medium
66 57 TreVeyon HendersonCommittee RB NE 11.5 Medium
67 42 Quinshon JudkinsBell cow RB CLE 12.7 High
68 67 Mike EvansVolume WR2 WR SF 9.4 High
69 62 Terry McLaurinVolume WR2 WR WAS 9.7 Low
70 165 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 5.6
71 118 MarShawn LloydCommittee RB GB 9.0 High
72 76 Marvin Harrison Jr.Volume WR2 WR ARI 9.1 Low
73 64 Michael WilsonVolume WR2 WR ARI 9.5 Low
74 79 Jordan MasonLead back RB MIN 10.6 Low
75 73 Rhamondre StevensonCommittee RB NE 10.9 Low
76 68 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX 18.2 Low
77 77 Bo Nix QB DEN 17.9 Low
78 87 Chris Godwin Jr.Volume WR2 WR TB 8.6 Medium
Flex with Benefits?cliff: 2.5 PPG over replacement
79 70 Jordan AddisonVolume WR2 WR MIN 9.3 Low
80 74 Harold Fannin Jr.Featured TE TE CLE 9.5 Low
81 80 Alec PierceVolume WR2 WR IND 9.0 Medium
82 66 DK MetcalfVolume WR2 WR PIT 9.4 Low
83 95 Brian Thomas Jr.Volume WR2 WR JAX 8.4 Medium
84 75 Quentin JohnstonVolume WR2 WR LAC 9.2 Low
85 93 Justin Herbert QB LAC 17.3 Low
86 85 Jaxson DartDual threat QB NYG 17.4 Medium
87 92 Sam LaPorta TE DET 8.8 High
88 69 Kyle PittsFeatured TE TE ATL 9.6 Low
89 96 Dak Prescott QB DAL 17.2 Low
90 107 Brock Purdy QB SF 16.6 Low
91 61 Kyler MurrayDual threat QB MIN 18.5 Low
Safe starters - Capped ceilingcliff: 1 PPG over replacement
92 124 Patrick Mahomes QB KC 16.1 Medium
93 98 Stefon DiggsVolume WR2 WR WAS 8.2 Medium
94 104 George Kittle TE SF 8.2 High
95 100 Courtland SuttonVolume WR2 WR DEN 8.1 Medium
96 65 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 9.8 Low
97 71 Jordan Love QB GB 18.1 Low
98 88 Travis KelceFeatured TE TE KC 8.8 Low
99 78 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 17.8 Low
100 97 Jared Goff QB DET 17.1 Low
101 82 Romeo DoubsVolume WR2 WR NE 8.8 Low
Flex Fill in with Questionscliff: -1.9 PPG over replacement
102 106 Matthew GoldenVolume WR2 WR GB 7.8 Medium
103 115 Jonathan BrooksCommittee RB CAR 9.2 Medium
104 111 RJ HarveyCommittee RB DEN 9.3 Low
105 94 Jaylen WarrenCommittee RB PIT 10.1 Low
106 99 Rico DowdleCommittee RB PIT 9.8 Low
107 121 Tony PollardLead back RB TEN 9.0 Medium
108 127 J.K. DobbinsCommittee RB DEN 8.6 High
109 116 Baker Mayfield QB TB 16.4 Low
110 90 Xavier WorthyVolume WR2 WR KC 8.5 Low
111 123 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 7.6 Low
112 101 Michael PittmanVolume WR2 WR PIT 8.0 Low
113 112 Jayden Reed WR GB 7.6 High
114 183 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 5.2 Low
Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poisoncliff: 1.6 PPG over replacement
115 129 Jakobi Meyers WR JAX 6.9 Low
116 156 Jalen Coker WR CAR 5.9 Low
117 142 Keenan Allen WR IND 6.3 Low
118 131 Josh Downs WR IND 6.8 Medium
119 84 Wan'Dale RobinsonVolume WR2 WR TEN 8.7 Low
120 167 Makai Lemon WR PHI 5.4 Medium
121 153 KC Concepcion WR CLE 5.9 Medium
122 102 Khalil ShakirVolume WR2 WR BUF 8.0 Low
123 135 Woody MarksCommittee RB HOU 8.3 Low
124 152 Kenny GainwellCommittee RB TB 7.6 Low
125 122 Jacory Croskey-MerrittLead back RB WAS 8.9 Medium
126 188 Chris Rodriguez Jr.Committee RB JAX 6.3 Low
127 132 Aaron JonesCommitteePass-down role RB MIN 8.4 High
128 108 Chuba HubbardCommittee RB CAR 9.4 Medium
129 110 Jordyn TysonVolume WR2 WR NO 7.7 High
130 114 Mark Andrews TE BAL 7.9 Low
131 117 Juwan JohnsonFeatured TE TE NO 7.8 Low
132 119 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 7.7 Low
Dart Throws
133 163 Tyler Shough QB NO 14.6 Low
134 168 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 5.4 Low
135 146 Kyle MonangaiCommittee RB CHI 7.8 High
136 190 Rachaad WhiteCommittee RB WAS 6.3 Low
137 177 Jalen McMillan WR TB 5.1 Low
138 89 Deebo Samuel Sr.Volume WR2 WR SF 8.5 High
139 137 Daniel Jones QB IND 15.4 Medium
140 103 Dalton SchultzFeatured TE TE HOU 8.2 Low
141 136 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 6.7 Low
142 157 Tyjae SpearsCommitteePass-down role RB TEN 7.5 Low
143 162 Chris Bell WR MIA 5.8 Low
144 159 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 5.9 Low
145 172 Sam Darnold QB SEA 14.1 Low
146 143 Emmett JohnsonCommittee RB KC 7.9 Low
147 179 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 5.0 Low
148 194 Kaelon BlackCommittee RB SF 6.0 Low
149 126 Rashid ShaheedVolume WR2 WR SEA 7.1 Low
150 109 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 8.1 Low
Model = where the projection model had him before judgment · PPG = projected half-PPR points per game · badges are computed from the projected share, never typed · cliff = the drop in value over replacement from this tier's last player to the next tier's first · Trend = rank over the last six weeks · Chg =movement, starting next edition — this is the baseline · How we build these
On the Cusp

Ten more I'd have in the conversation, in no order.

PlayerPosTmRisk
Brenton Strange TE JAX Low
C.J. Stroud QB HOU Low
Calvin Ridley WR TEN Medium
Chig Okonkwo TE WAS Low
Greg Dulcich TE MIA Low
Hunter Henry TE NE Low
Jalen Nailor WR LV Low
Malik Washington WR MIA Low
Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ Low
Tre Tucker WR LV Low
The Flags

Risk is a judgment call, not a model output: Low, Medium or High. Every flag comes with the reason.

Christian McCaffrey High
Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.
#9
Ashton Jeanty High
Ankle to start the year; Washington eats more than consensus expects
#16
Malik Nabers High
Banged up. Do not trust the Giants offense
#26
Chris Olave Medium
Really good this year
#27
Garrett Wilson Medium
Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step
#28
Jaylen Waddle Medium
Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush
#30
Rashee Rice Medium
Middle-tier WR2, not the WR5 the volume implied
#35
Davante Adams Medium
Value at ADP in a top offense
#44
Bucky Irving Medium
I am concerned about Gainwell and Tucker. Bucky is a smaller back, it was always the question, can he sustain the lead? I think Gainwell will take some valuable passing away from him, but ultimately, this was a back we drafted in round 2 last year. He is going too late.
#46
Emeka Egbuka High
Turf toe concern out of camp
#48
Parker Washington Medium
Leads the Jaguars room as the WR2; ahead of Thomas
#53
Cam Skattebo High
Post-injury, offseason distraction, bad OC
#56
Jayden Daniels Medium
Bad camp vibes, older WRs, uninspiring run game. Not at his ADP
#61
Bhayshul Tuten Medium
Explosive, but slow start to the season likely
#65
TreVeyon Henderson Medium
50/50 first half, breakout second half
#66
Mike Evans High
Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp
#68
MarShawn Lloyd High
Talented, but extensive injury history. More of a committee than people expect
#71
Chris Godwin Jr. Medium
Value at ADP
#78
Alec Pierce Medium
Slow start expected on health
#81
Patrick Mahomes Medium
Value. Run game + Bieniemy back. No step back
#92
George Kittle High
Old, coming off major injury; projected 14 games — slow ramp
#94
Jonathan Brooks Medium
Even split with Hubbard; neither great
#103
Makai Lemon Medium
Missed camp time; slow start, better back half
#120
Jordyn Tyson High
Second-half breakout candidate
#129