PlayerRunning back · HOUUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · RB · HOU · Week 6: IR taxi squad, #71 if healthy
David Montgomery
Groin, left in the second quarter, doubtful for London; Marks had 15 carries. 71st if healthy, and the model splits the room 0.45 to 0.40 Marks's way when he's back.
Lead back
Tier 8 · ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?
Risk · Low
#69Board rank
#117Model rank
RB32Position
51ADP
9.4Proj. PPG
-1.4Over replacement
-18vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 83 | 57 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 83 | 57 | — | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 88 | 35 | ▲ 22 | 20 carries, 60 yards, two scores, 62% of Houston's carries. The metric's low on the efficiency; I'm ranking the role and the goal-line work. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 114 | 44 | ▼ 9 | Six carries for 10 in a game Houston trailed and threw 56 times, after 20 for 60 and two scores with every red-zone touch in Week 1. I'm ranking the Week 1 role and the goal line; if Marks out-snaps him in a neutral game, he drops. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 107 | 59 | ▼ 15 | 11 carries for 33, 52% of the backfield, in a 19-17 loss, and the goal-line work hasn't come back. I said he'd drop if the split held in a neutral game, and it did. Still above the model's 107: Houston's goal-line back is worth more than that. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 117 | 69 | ▼ 10 | 10 carries for 24, 53%, no targets, in a 34-30 loss; Marks 6 and the goal-line score. The split holds and the touchdowns aren't his. Down ten; the model has him 117th. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
229Carries
937Rush yds
6.1Rush TD
26Targets
144Rec yds
0.6Rec TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 117 · ADP 51 · gap -66 · RCS 38.9 (weak)
Four weeks of a 50% split and no goal-line work; RCS weak, model 117, market 51, me 69 after a ten-spot cut. I'm still above the model because the Texans' offense works when Collins plays.