PlayerRunning back · HOUUpdated September 4, 2026
Player · RB · HOU
David Montgomery
Where the model has him, where the board put him, and every edition in between.
Lead back
Tier 7 · breakouts.. (if everything goes right)
Risk · Low
#57Board rank
#83Model rank
RB27Position
44ADP
10.4Proj. PPG
+0.3Over replacement
-13vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 83 | 57 | — | — |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
243Carries
999Rush yds
6.9Rush TD
32Targets
177Rec yds
0.7Rec TD
Signals
Metric backs model under marketModel 83 · ADP 44 · gap -39 · RCS 38.9 (weak)