Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
The Ledger
The Ledger, Week 5: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire
The Ledger
The Ledger, Week 4: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire
The Ledger
The Ledger, Week 3: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire
The Weekly Rank™
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Week 2Half-PPR · Rest of SeasonUpdated September 16, 2026

This is the Week 2 edition · latest is Week 6

Week 2 · Half-PPR · Top 150

Week 2 Fantasy Football Rest-of-Season Rankings (2026)

Movement shown against the prior week. Tiers drawn at value cliffs, not even buckets.

UpdatedTue Sep 15, 9:38 PM ET
Reviewed by Costa Angelakis
The Tiers
18.5
16.4
14.3
13.4
11.5
12.9
11.7
11.2
10
11.6
11
8.7
6.5
GOATs4
The6
can't11
on12
Potential12
starters14
breakouts..7
ambiguity17
Flex11
Safe9
Flex12
Floor15
Dart20
Width is tier size · height is average projected PPG · the drops between bars are the value cliffs
150 players · 13 tiers
#ModelPlayerPosTm PPGTrendChgRisk
GOATscliff: 2.7 PPG over replacement
1 1 Jahmyr GibbsBell cowPass-down role RB DET 19.8 — Low
2 4 Bijan RobinsonBell cowPass-down role RB ATL 18.3 — Low
3 3 Ja'Marr ChaseAlpha target WR CIN 16.8 — Low
4 2 Jonathan TaylorBell cow RB IND 19.0 — Low
The best of the bestcliff: 2.7 PPG over replacement
5 11 Amon-Ra St. BrownAlpha target WR DET 14.3 ▲ 2 Low
6 7 Jaxon Smith-NjigbaAlpha target WR SEA 15.8 — Low
7 5 Puka NacuaAlpha target WR LAR 16.2 ▲ 1 High
8 8 Kenneth Walker IIIBell cowPass-down role RB KC 17.7 ▲ 4 Medium
9 6 James CookBell cowPass-down role RB BUF 17.9 ▼ 4 Low
10 10 Christian McCaffreyLead backPass-down role RB SF 16.7 ▼ 1 High
can't cut list!cliff: 1.5 PPG over replacement
11 23 Ashton JeantyBell cowPass-down role RB LV 14.1 ▲ 5 Low
12 22 Trey McBrideAlpha target TE ARI 12.6 ▲ 6 Low
13 13 Chase BrownBell cowPass-down role RB CIN 15.5 ▲ 1 Low
14 29 Derrick HenryBell cow RB BAL 13.8 ▲ 8 Medium
15 17 CeeDee LambAlpha target WR DAL 12.8 ▼ 5 Low
16 12 Justin JeffersonAlpha target WR MIN 13.9 ▼ 5 Low
17 19 Josh Allen QB BUF 21.2 ▲ 6 Low
18 20 Nico CollinsAlpha target WR HOU 12.4 ▲ 3 Low
19 21 Omarion HamptonLead backPass-down role RB LAC 14.4 ▼ 6 Low
20 14 Saquon BarkleyBell cowPass-down role RB PHI 15.3 ▼ 5 Medium
21 32 Chris OlaveAlpha target WR NO 11.7 ▲ 5 Medium
on the verge of uncuttablecliff: 1.6 PPG over replacement
22 50 D'Andre SwiftLead back RB CHI 12.2 ▲ 17 Medium
23 15 De'Von AchaneLead backPass-down role RB MIA 15.1 ▼ 3 Medium
24 28 Zay FlowersVolume WR2 WR BAL 11.8 ▲ 12 Low
25 30 Malik NabersAlpha target WR NYG 11.8 ▲ 5 High
26 35 Javonte WilliamsLead back RB DAL 13.6 ▲ 7 Low
27 77 Jeremiyah LoveCommitteePass-down role RB ARI 11.0 ▲ 7 High
28 27 George PickensVolume WR2 WR DAL 11.8 ▼ 4 Low
29 9 Bucky IrvingLead backPass-down role RB TB 16.9 ▲ 17 Medium
30 36 DeVonta SmithAlpha target WR PHI 11.6 ▼ 5 Low
31 34 Lamar JacksonDual threat QB BAL 20.3 ▲ 1 Low
32 43 Breece HallLead backPass-down role RB NYJ 12.8 ▲ 6 Medium
33 31 Garrett WilsonAlpha target WR NYJ 11.8 ▼ 6 Medium
Potential stars, with questionscliff: 2.3 PPG over replacement
34 51 Emeka EgbukaVolume WR2 WR TB 10.2 ▲ 10 High
35 88 David MontgomeryLead back RB HOU 10.5 ▲ 22 Low
36 18 Tee HigginsVolume WR2 WR CIN 12.8 ▼ 5 Medium
37 52 Kyren WilliamsLead back RB LAR 12.2 ▲ 3 Low
38 37 Parker WashingtonVolume WR2 WR JAX 11.4 ▲ 16 Medium
39 42 Christian WatsonVolume WR2 WR GB 10.9 ▲ 16 High
40 38 Jaylen WaddleVolume WR2 WR DEN 11.4 ▼ 12 Medium
41 57 Ladd McConkeyVolume WR2 WR LAC 9.9 ▲ 10 Low
42 25 Brock BowersAlpha target TE LV 12.3 ▼ 25 Low
43 26 Drake LondonAlpha target WR ATL 12.0 ▼ 14 Medium
44 46 Colston LovelandFeatured TE TE CHI 10.9 ▼ 7 Low
45 16 A.J. BrownAlpha target WR NE 13.0 ▼ 26 Medium
starters I am very content withcliff: -2.2 PPG over replacement
46 44 Luther Burden IIIVolume WR2 WR CHI 10.7 ▼ 3 Medium
47 41 Davante AdamsVolume WR2 WR LAR 10.9 ▼ 2 Medium
48 122 Isaiah LikelyFeatured TE TE NYG 7.5 ▲ 53 Low
49 39 Tyler WarrenAlpha target TE IND 11.3 ▼ 2 Low
50 56 Tetairoa McMillanVolume WR2 WR CAR 9.9 ▼ 2 Low
51 49 DJ MooreVolume WR2 WR BUF 10.2 ▼ 2 Medium
52 70 Mike EvansVolume WR2 WR SF 9.4 ▲ 16 High
53 33 Rashee RiceAlpha target WR KC 11.7 ▼ 18 Medium
54 40 Cam SkatteboLead backPass-down role RB NYG 13.0 ▲ 2 High
55 61 Drake Maye QB NE 18.4 ▼ 5 Low
56 58 Travis EtienneCommitteePass-down role RB NO 11.8 ▼ 14 Low
57 54 Joe Burrow QB CIN 18.7 ▼ 5 Low
58 48 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 18.9 ▼ 5 Low
59 59 Caleb Williams QB CHI 18.5 ▼ 1 Low
breakouts.. (if everything goes right)cliff: -1.5 PPG over replacement
60 24 Rhamondre StevensonLead backPass-down role RB NE 14.0 ▲ 3 Low
61 85 Tucker Kraft TE GB 8.9 ▼ 2 High
62 63 Jameson WilliamsVolume WR2 WR DET 9.6 ▼ 2 Medium
63 47 Jadarian PriceLead back RB SEA 12.6 ▼ 22 Low
64 97 Bhayshul TutenLead back RB JAX 10.3 ▲ 3 Medium
65 67 Jayden DanielsDual threat QB WAS 18.1 ▼ 4 Medium
66 91 Rome OdunzeVolume WR2 WR CHI 8.5 ▼ 2 Low
ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?cliff: 1.6 PPG over replacement
67 55 Matthew GoldenVolume WR2 WR GB 10.0 ▲ 33 Medium
68 68 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX 18.1 ▲ 6 Low
69 53 Blake CorumLead back RB LAR 12.0 ▼ 7 Low
70 45 Quinshon JudkinsBell cow RB CLE 12.7 ▼ 4 High
71 64 Michael WilsonVolume WR2 WR ARI 9.5 — Low
72 66 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 9.8 ▲ 25 Low
73 62 Terry McLaurinVolume WR2 WR WAS 9.7 ▼ 4 Low
74 89 Chris Godwin Jr.Volume WR2 WR TB 8.5 ▲ 1 Medium
75 76 Alec PierceVolume WR2 WR IND 9.0 ▲ 6 Medium
76 99 Jalen CokerVolume WR2 WR CAR 8.1 ▲ 41 Low
77 83 Jordan MasonLead back RB MIN 10.7 ▼ 5 Low
78 82 Jaxson DartDual threat QB NYG 17.4 ▲ 11 Medium
79 90 Deebo Samuel Sr.Volume WR2 WR SF 8.5 ▲ 62 High
80 78 Carnell TateVolume WR2 WR TEN 8.8 ▼ 15 Low
81 69 DK MetcalfVolume WR2 WR PIT 9.4 ▲ 1 Low
82 92 Dak Prescott QB DAL 17.2 ▲ 3 Low
83 65 TreVeyon HendersonCommittee RB NE 11.6 ▼ 5 Medium
Flex with Benefits?cliff: -0.7 PPG over replacement
84 105 Brock Purdy QB SF 16.7 ▲ 2 Low
85 119 Patrick Mahomes QB KC 16.0 ▲ 6 Medium
86 98 Stefon DiggsVolume WR2 WR WAS 8.2 ▲ 7 Medium
87 127 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 7.0 ▼ 11 Low
88 94 MarShawn LloydCommittee RB GB 10.5 ▼ 11 High
89 74 Quentin JohnstonVolume WR2 WR LAC 9.2 ▼ 6 Low
90 72 Jordan AddisonVolume WR2 WR MIN 9.3 ▼ 11 Low
91 120 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 7.6 ▲ 16 Low
92 95 Brian Thomas Jr.Volume WR2 WR JAX 8.4 ▼ 5 Medium
93 93 Sam LaPorta TE DET 8.7 ▼ 5 High
94 107 George Kittle TE SF 8.2 — High
Safe starters - Capped ceilingcliff: 0.6 PPG over replacement
95 84 Travis KelceFeatured TE TE KC 8.9 ▲ 4 Low
96 116 Chuba HubbardCommittee RB CAR 9.5 ▲ 23 Medium
97 159 Kyle MonangaiCommittee RB CHI 7.8 ▲ 32 High
98 128 Jacory Croskey-MerrittLead back RB WAS 8.9 ▲ 27 Medium
99 75 Bo Nix QB DEN 17.8 ▼ 26 Low
100 87 Justin Herbert QB LAC 17.2 ▼ 16 Low
101 101 Courtland SuttonVolume WR2 WR DEN 8.1 ▼ 6 Medium
102 79 Romeo DoubsVolume WR2 WR NE 8.8 ▼ 6 Low
103 80 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 17.5 ▼ 5 Low
Flex Fill in with Questionscliff: 0.7 PPG over replacement
104 100 Jaylen WarrenCommittee RB PIT 10.1 ▼ 2 Low
105 102 Michael PittmanVolume WR2 WR PIT 8.0 ▲ 7 Low
106 140 J.K. DobbinsCommittee RB DEN 8.4 ▼ 1 High
107 96 Jared Goff QB DET 17.1 ▲ 2 Low
108 73 Harold Fannin Jr.Featured TE TE CLE 9.5 ▼ 28 Low
109 71 Kyle PittsFeatured TE TE ATL 9.6 ▼ 19 Low
110 121 RJ HarveyCommittee RB DEN 9.2 ▼ 7 Low
111 109 Rico DowdleCommittee RB PIT 9.7 ▼ 5 Low
112 131 Tony PollardLead back RB TEN 8.8 ▼ 8 Medium
113 104 Jordan Love QB GB 16.7 ▼ 5 Low
114 86 Xavier WorthyVolume WR2 WR KC 8.6 ▼ 4 Low
115 114 Baker Mayfield QB TB 16.3 ▼ 2 Low
Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poisoncliff: 4.2 PPG over replacement
116 129 Jakobi Meyers WR JAX 6.9 — Low
117 123 Jonathan BrooksCommittee RB CAR 9.2 ▲ 1 Medium
118 148 Woody MarksCommittee RB HOU 8.2 ▲ 2 Low
119 132 Josh Downs WR IND 6.8 ▲ 3 Medium
120 110 Jordyn TysonVolume WR2 WR NO 7.7 ▲ 3 High
121 179 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 5.0 ▲ 21 Low
122 113 Jayden Reed WR GB 7.6 ▼ 11 High
123 154 Tyler Shough QB NO 14.6 ▲ 12 Low
124 115 Juwan JohnsonFeatured TE TE NO 7.8 ▲ 9 Low
125 143 Aaron JonesCommitteePass-down role RB MIN 8.3 ▲ 5 High
126 165 Kaelon BlackCommittee RB SF 7.5 ▲ 17 Low
127 169 Kenny GainwellCommittee RB TB 7.4 ▼ 6 Low
128 60 Kyler MurrayDual threat QB MIN 18.4 ▼ 36 Low
129 117 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 7.7 ▲ 5 Low
130 112 Mark Andrews TE BAL 7.9 ▲ 1 Low
Dart Throws
131 209 Malik Willis QB MIA 12.1 NEW
132 138 Antonio Williams WR WAS 6.5 NEW
133 167 Makai Lemon WR PHI 5.4 ▼ 19 Medium
134 155 KC Concepcion WR CLE 5.9 ▼ 19 Medium
135 242 Chris Rodriguez Jr.Committee RB JAX 4.1 ▼ 9
136 161 Chris Bell WR MIA 5.8 ▲ 2 Low
137 81 Wan'Dale RobinsonVolume WR2 WR TEN 8.7 ▼ 10 Low
138 103 Khalil ShakirVolume WR2 WR BUF 8.0 ▼ 10 Low
139 130 Malik WashingtonVolume WR2 WR MIA 6.8 NEW Low
140 225 Braelon AllenCommittee RB NYJ 4.7 NEW
141 194 Rachaad WhiteCommittee RB WAS 6.2 ▼ 9 Low
142 157 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 5.9 ▼ 3 Low
143 160 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 5.8 NEW
144 163 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 5.6 ▼ 74
145 149 Cooper Kupp WR SEA 6.2 NEW
146 168 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 5.4 ▼ 10 Low
147 144 Keenan Allen WR IND 6.3 ▼ 23 Low
148 106 Dalton SchultzFeatured TE TE HOU 8.2 ▼ 3 Low
149 108 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 8.1 NEW Low
150 236 Zach CharbonnetCommittee RB SEA 4.3 NEW High
Model = where the projection model had him before judgment · PPG = projected half-PPR points per game · badges are computed from the projected share, never typed · cliff = the drop in value over replacement from this tier's last player to the next tier's first · Trend = rank over the last six weeks · Chg =movement vs. prior week · How we build these
On the Cusp

Ten more I'd have in the conversation, in no order.

PlayerPosTmRisk
Alvin Kamara RB NO
Brenton Strange TE JAX Low
Emmett Johnson RB KC Low
Greg Dulcich TE MIA Low
Jalen Nailor WR LV
Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ
Mike Washington Jr. RB LV
Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ Low
Rashid Shaheed WR SEA Low
Tyjae Spears RB TEN Low
The Flags

Risk is a judgment call, not a model output: Low, Medium or High. Every flag comes with the reason.

Puka Nacua High
Could win you your league but I prefer JSN and Amon Ra for alphas without the question marks in RD1.
#7
Kenneth Walker III Medium
The SB MVP - he was the centerpiece of the offense on Monday. He showed why he is so good and the explosive upside in this offense. Jumps a tier immediately.
#8
Christian McCaffrey High
Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.
#10
Derrick Henry Medium
The player you never want to bet against, but he is getting up there in age. Father time is undefeated, and I fear taking young studs over him in case Father time, decides it is time.
#14
Saquon Barkley Medium
I think we get one last swan song from Saquon this year, and I feel like I am too low to be frank. New OC, and AJ Brown gone. They are going to need some vintage Saquon.
#20
Chris Olave Medium
Really good this year especially without Tyson to start. He was the WR3 last year down the stretch.
#21
D'Andre Swift Medium
RB1 in a Ben Johnson offense! Sign me up. We know Swift is talented, and I think he dominates especially as Monangai is week to week.
#22
De'Von Achane Medium
I think Achane is one of the probably 5 most talented backs in the league. This is not about him. Situationally, I hate this MIA offense. No WRs, a mobile QB who may not check down as much, and overall a questionable offense. He is still uncuttable because of who he is, but I am taking others over him for this reason.
#23
Malik Nabers High
He is a top tier talent. But, he is coming off an ACL and lateral Meniscus. We have not seen that combo before. He has even admitted he is still regaining his feel. Mix in Matt Nagy as OC - and I am worried. I am willing to take the swing approaching the 4th round, but color me concerned.
#25
Jeremiyah Love High
High ankle sprain I think he will have a slow start to year. We know the talent though. Generational. We are getting a discount we wouldn't otherwise. Be okay with a slow start, to potentially have a league winner thereafter.
#27
Bucky Irving Medium
I am concerned about Gainwell and Tucker. Bucky is a smaller back, it was always the question, can he sustain the lead? I think Gainwell will take some valuable passing away from him, but ultimately, this was a back we drafted in round 2 last year. He is going too late.
#29
Breece Hall Medium
Much like Wilson, Breece transcended a terrible situation last year. I think it improves this year, and the Jets know it comes through these two players.
#32
Garrett Wilson Medium
Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step forward with Geno. Wilson was dominating last year even in one of the worst passing attacks ever. This should improve this year, and he stands to benefit.
#33
Emeka Egbuka High
Turf toe concern out of camp - if it was not for that, he would be higher. Turf Toe is one of those injuries I always balk at. And we saw last year how Egbuka struggled coming off injury. I am worried.
#34
Tee Higgins Medium
The model loves Tee Higgins this year as the offense should crush. Let this be his ceiling. He is always hurt, if you told me he would play a full season, I would have him up a tier easily. I don't buy it, so for me he sits with Nabers at questions.
#36
Parker Washington Medium
Model LOVES Parker. I had to drag him down to account for some of the risk. I think he crushes though. He has the work ethic, and he is playing for a contract. TLaw loves him also.
#38
Christian Watson High
147 yards and two scores on 8 targets. Risk High is the knee history and a target tree with Golden at 12 and Kraft at 6.
#39
Jaylen Waddle Medium
Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush.
#40
Drake London Medium
The lowest you may see London, but the model agrees. I am worried about this offense, and Tua as a starting QB. You may not like what you see, but his volume makes it harder to drop further to start. He could move up or down a tier quickly.
#43
A.J. Brown Medium
Couldn't ask for much of a better fit for AJB than Maye, as accurate as they get. Health and age are his only questions, but I think he has another good season in him.
#45
Luther Burden III Medium
He was so efficient last year. One thing stuck with me from his rookie year. Preseason last year I was on Rome. And there was a quote that the coaching staff drafted him and sees him as the future WR1 for team. I think that comes to fruition this year.
#46
Davante Adams Medium
Value at ADP in a top offense. All concerns are age related.
#47
DJ Moore Medium
Josh Allen's number 1.. it could be magic. I don't have him enough places, but he could smash. I think he is being drafted at his floor.
#51
Mike Evans High
Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp
#52
Rashee Rice Medium
Middle-tier WR2, not the WR5 the volume implied. I am afraid to be wrong.
#53
Cam Skattebo High
Post-injury, offseason distraction, bad OC
#54
Tucker Kraft High
6 targets, 65 yards, and he just got paid. Risk High for the health history, not the role.
#61
Jameson Williams Medium
9 targets for 45. The volume behind St. Brown is real; risk Medium is the boom-or-bust shape.
#62
Bhayshul Tuten Medium
Explosive, but slow start to the season likely
#64
Jayden Daniels Medium
Bad camp vibes, older WRs, uninspiring run game. Not at his ADP
#65
Matthew Golden Medium
12 of 40 targets in a 42-attempt game with no run game. One game, so I'm a quarter of the way there, not all the way.
#67
Quinshon Judkins High
12 carries for 33 and 2 targets in an offense that couldn't move. The volume needs the game script and the script isn't coming. Risk High.
#70
Chris Godwin Jr. Medium
Value at ADP
#74
Alec Pierce Medium
Slow start expected on health
#75
Jaxson Dart Medium
29 attempts, 230 yards, three scores, 11 carries for 54. Risk Medium is a rookie's week-to-week variance, not the talent.
#78
Deebo Samuel Sr. High
7 targets, 6 catches, a score, plus a carry and kick returns, and Stribling is out a month. Risk High is the age and the mileage.
#79
TreVeyon Henderson Medium
50/50 first half, breakout second half
#83
Patrick Mahomes Medium
Value. Run game + Bieniemy back. No step back
#85
Stefon Diggs Medium
9 targets, a touchdown, and 32 years old. The rookie is coming for the second-target job. Risk Medium.
#86
MarShawn Lloyd High
Talented, but extensive injury history. More of a committee than people expect
#88
Brian Thomas Jr. Medium
3 targets for 40 and a shoulder that had him questionable to return. Risk Medium is the shoulder.
#92
Sam LaPorta High
8 targets for 48 in a 39-attempt game. Risk High is the injury history, not the role.
#93
George Kittle High
Old, coming off major injury; projected 14 games — slow ramp
#94
Chuba Hubbard Medium
10 carries, 3 targets, two scores with Brooks cleared. It's a three-way room now; risk Medium is the split.
#96
Kyle Monangai High
10 carries for 100 and a score behind Swift's 18. Risk High because the touches depend on Swift's health and the game script, and Sunday had both.
#97
Jacory Croskey-Merritt Medium
16 of 32 carries, a touchdown, one target. The lead in a three-back room; risk Medium is the room.
#98
Courtland Sutton Medium
5 targets for 11; Bryant led the room with 6 and Waddle had 3. Risk Medium: the share is split three ways now.
#101
J.K. Dobbins High
8 carries led the backfield to Harvey's 3, in a 15-carry game. The order is Dobbins first; risk High is the injury history.
#106
Tony Pollard Medium
7 carries for 35 in a 14-carry game. The Titans didn't run; risk Medium is the split with Spears.
#112
Jonathan Brooks Medium
Even split with Hubbard; neither great
#117
Josh Downs Medium
4 targets for 37 with Pierce back. Risk Medium: Pierce's return caps the slot volume.
#119
Jordyn Tyson High
Second-half breakout candidate
#120
Jayden Reed High
7 targets but 3 catches for 20 while Watson and Golden took the big plays. Risk High is the target tree: he's fourth in it right now.
#122
Aaron Jones High
12 carries for 40 and a score behind Mason's 15. The split is real and he's the smaller half of it; risk High is the age and the workload.
#125
Makai Lemon Medium
Missed camp time; slow start, better back half
#133
KC Concepcion Medium
5 targets for 43 plus 3 carries, in a Browns offense that threw 22 times. Risk Medium is the offense.
#134
Zach Charbonnet High
On IR, coming back from the ACL. This is an injury stash, not a role: Price and Holani have the room until he's activated, and the 150th slot is the price of being early.
#150
If Healthy

Held down or off the board while out. Where each would slot the week he's back: a band, not a rank.

Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA
On IR, coming back from the ACL. This is an injury stash, not a role: Price and Holani have the room until he's activated, and the 150th slot is the price of being early.
would slot RB3 with standalone value when active
Fell Off the Board

On the Week 1 board, not on this one. The number is where he was.

PlayerPosTmWas
Jalen McMillan WR TB #137
Rashid Shaheed WR SEA #140
Daniel Jones QB IND #144
Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL #146
Tyjae Spears RB TEN #147
Sam Darnold QB SEA #148
Emmett Johnson RB KC #149
Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ #150