Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · QB · TB · Week 6: IR taxi squad, #160 if healthy

Baker Mayfield

Thumb, out through Week 7 at least (Oct. 25 return date). 160th if healthy, outside the publish line.

Tier 13 · Dart Throws Risk · Low
#149Board rank
#109Model rank
QB18Position
146ADP
16.4Proj. PPG
-0.7Over replacement
-3vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #109#113#115#149PREWK 1WK 2WK 3
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason116109—Value at ADP
Sep 9Week 1116113▼ 4Value at ADP
Sep 16Week 2114115▼ 2Value at ADP
Sep 23Week 3109149▼ 34216 yards, then 182, one touchdown across two games in an offense that hasn't found itself. QB2 until it does.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

555Pass att
3799Pass yds
26.2Pass TD
11.4INT
317Rush yds
2.2Rush TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 109 · ADP 146 · gap +37 · PGHI 63.8 (strong)