Vol. I ยท No. 1 September 4, 2026 Gridiron & Hardwood
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
Preseason · The Signals

What the Metrics Say

Where a metric and the market agree or disagree with the model. The gap is draft position minus model rank — positive means the model is ahead of the market — and the blurb is the read.

Metric backs model over market

1 player
RB · TB
Model19
Rank46
ADP32
Gap+13
RCS61.6 · strong

My model loves Bucky with the role he had last year. The keys to success are here. This is one of the biggest gaps in model vs my feelings. He ends up above ADP and is worth the risk in the end.

Metric backs model under market

8 players
RB · JAX
Model105
Rank65
ADP44
Gap-61
RCS24.7 · weak
RB · DEN
Model127
Rank108
ADP68
Gap-59
RCS46.3 · weak
QB · WAS
Model72
Rank61
ADP17
Gap-55
PGHI54.9 · weak
RB · DEN
Model111
Rank104
ADP56
Gap-55
RCS43.7 · weak

Metric and shares disagree

15 players
QB · LAC
Model93
Rank85
ADP30
Gap-63
PGHI62.3 · strong
QB · DAL
Model96
Rank89
ADP41
Gap-55
PGHI63.5 · strong
QB · SF
Model107
Rank90
ADP53
Gap-54
PGHI63.7 · strong
RB · MIN
Model132
Rank127
ADP85
Gap-47
RCS65.2 · strong
QB · NE
Model51
Rank50
ADP7
Gap-44
PGHI62.9 · strong
QB · CIN
Model56
Rank51
ADP15
Gap-41
PGHI65.4 · strong
QB · DEN
Model77
Rank77
ADP43
Gap-34
PGHI64.8 · strong
RB · LAR
Model46
Rank41
ADP13
Gap-33
RCS68.2 · strong
RB · HOU
Model135
Rank123
ADP105
Gap-30
RCS60.4 · strong
RB · LAR
Model50
Rank62
ADP68
Gap+18
RCS23.8 · weak
RB · MIN
Model79
Rank74
ADP95
Gap+16
RCS45.4 · weak
RB · LV
Model24
Rank16
ADP12
Gap-12
RCS71.4 · strong

Share-driven gap, no metric

58 players
RB · CHI
Model146
Rank135
ADP61
Gap-85
Metricnone
QB · SEA
Model172
Rank145
ADP92
Gap-80
PGHI59.5 · neutral
QB · NO
Model163
Rank133
ADP85
Gap-78
PGHI61.5 · neutral
WR · PHI
Model167
Rank120
ADP89
Gap-78
Metricnone
TE · NYG
Model183
Rank114
ADP107
Gap-76
Metricnone
RB · WAS
Model190
Rank136
ADP123
Gap-67
RCS53.9 · neutral
RB · TEN
Model121
Rank107
ADP63
Gap-58
Metricnone
WR · JAX
Model129
Rank115
ADP77
Gap-52
Metricnone
QB · NYG
Model85
Rank86
ADP37
Gap-48
PGHI60.4 · neutral
WR · NO
Model110
Rank129
ADP62
Gap-48
Metricnone
QB · TB
Model116
Rank109
ADP72
Gap-44
PGHI60.7 · neutral
RB · PIT
Model94
Rank105
ADP52
Gap-42
Metricnone
RB · CAR
Model108
Rank128
ADP66
Gap-42
Metricnone
WR · CLE
Model153
Rank121
ADP112
Gap-41
Metricnone
QB · CHI
Model59
Rank58
ADP20
Gap-39
PGHI61.6 · neutral
WR · IND
Model142
Rank117
ADP178
Gap+36
Metricnone
WR · NE
Model82
Rank101
ADP117
Gap+35
Metricnone
QB · DET
Model97
Rank100
ADP62
Gap-35
PGHI61.9 · neutral
RB · TEN
Model157
Rank142
ADP122
Gap-35
Metricnone
RB · PIT
Model99
Rank106
ADP65
Gap-34
RCS56.2 · neutral
TE · DET
Model92
Rank87
ADP59
Gap-33
Metricnone
RB · SF
Model194
Rank148
ADP161
Gap-33
Metricnone
WR · KC
Model90
Rank110
ADP122
Gap+32
Metricnone
QB · MIN
Model61
Rank91
ADP90
Gap+29
PGHI57.5 · neutral
WR · CHI
Model91
Rank63
ADP63
Gap-28
Metricnone
QB · PHI
Model54
Rank54
ADP27
Gap-27
PGHI61.4 · neutral
RB · NO
Model60
Rank42
ADP34
Gap-26
RCS55 · neutral
WR · CAR
Model156
Rank116
ADP132
Gap-24
Metricnone
TE · GB
Model86
Rank59
ADP63
Gap-23
Metricnone
WR · TEN
Model81
Rank64
ADP61
Gap-20
Metricnone
WR · IND
Model131
Rank118
ADP111
Gap-20
Metricnone
QB · BUF
Model22
Rank23
ADP3
Gap-19
PGHI59.1 · neutral
WR · CIN
Model18
Rank31
ADP36
Gap+18
Metricnone
WR · BUF
Model102
Rank122
ADP120
Gap+18
Metricnone
TE · BAL
Model114
Rank130
ADP96
Gap-18
Metricnone
WR · MIA
Model179
Rank147
ADP197
Gap+18
Metricnone
RB · BAL
Model23
Rank22
ADP7
Gap-16
RCS55.9 · neutral
Model = where the projection model has him · Rank = where he sits in the published rankings · ADP = average draft position · Gap = ADP − model · the metric is the position's — role clarity for backs, passing-game health for quarterbacks, scheme fit for receivers — or the opportunity trend when that one is quiet · What the metrics measure