Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · NYJ

Breece Hall

A third game missed with the quad, no return date; Braelon Allen had 24 carries. Down six; the band is 33–45 for when he's back, and the model's 107 is the games he hasn't played.

Committee Tier 6 · starters I am very content with Risk · Medium
#45Board rank
#107Model rank
RB31Position
30ADP
9.2Proj. PPG
-0.9Over replacement
-15vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #39#38#32#27#36#39#45PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason4039——
Sep 9Week 14038▲ 1Much like Wilson, Breece transcended a terrible situation last year. I think it improves this year, and the Jets know it comes through these two players.
Sep 16Week 24332▲ 6Much like Wilson, Breece transcended a terrible situation last year. I think it improves this year, and the Jets know it comes through these two players.
Sep 23Week 34327▲ 5Much like Wilson, Breece transcended a terrible situation last year. I think it improves this year, and the Jets know it comes through these two players.
Oct 1Week 45136▼ 9Quad, week to week, likely out at Chicago. 13 carries for 32 before it. Inside the top 40 because the role is his when he's back; the model's 51 is pricing the week he misses.
Oct 7Week 58239▼ 3Out again with the quad; Braelon Allen took all 14 Jets carries. Second game missed, no return date given. Down three; 33–39 when he's back.
Oct 14Week 610745▼ 6A third game missed with the quad, no return date; Braelon Allen had 24 carries. Down six; the band is 33–45 for when he's back, and the model's 107 is the games he hasn't played.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

173Carries
698Rush yds
5.2Rush TD
42Targets
299Rec yds
1.2Rec TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 107 · ADP 30 · gap -77 · RCS 60.5 (strong)

Three games missed; the role score is strong because the role is his when he plays, and the model's 107 is the share I cut for the games he hasn't. Me 45 with a band. Both are right about different things.