Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · NYJ

Braelon Allen

24 for 116 and a score, 75% of the carries, a week after all 14. Hall is out a third game with no date. Up 21; the model has him 121st because it prices Hall's return in, and that's the right argument to have.

Committee Tier 12 · Dart Throws
#102Board rank
#121Model rank
RB32Position
159ADP
8.6Proj. PPG
-1.4Over replacement
+57vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #140#136#119#123#102WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 16Week 2225140—10 carries for 40 behind Hall's 22. The handcuff with a standalone floor.
Sep 23Week 3235136▲ 410 carries for 40 behind Hall's 22. The handcuff with a standalone floor.
Oct 1Week 4225119▲ 17Hall is week to week with the quad and likely out at Chicago. Allen has 10, 5 and 4 carries behind him; a one-week lead back on a team that throws 37 times. The rank is the week, not the player.
Oct 7Week 5168123▼ 4All 14 Jets carries with Hall out again, 59 yards, 2 catches. Hall has no return date. Down four on the names above him, not the week; the lead back as long as Hall sits, in an offense that ran 14 times and threw 15.
Oct 14Week 6121102▲ 2124 for 116 and a score, 75% of the carries, a week after all 14. Hall is out a third game with no date. Up 21; the model has him 121st because it prices Hall's return in, and that's the right argument to have.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

165Carries
679Rush yds
5.3Rush TD
42Targets
229Rec yds
1.2Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 121 · ADP 159 · gap +38 · RCS 59.8 (neutral)