PreseasonHalf-PPR · Rest of SeasonUpdated September 4, 2026

Preseason · Half-PPR

Top 150 Rest-of-Season Rankings

The baseline. Movement starts with the next edition. Tiers drawn at value cliffs, not even buckets.

UpdatedFri 10:57 PM

The Tiers

18.1

16.5

14.4

11.9

13.5

12.7

10.6

12.3

12.1

7.4

8.1

GOATs4

The5

can't14

on11

Potential12

starters8

breakouts..8

ambiguity16

Flex13

Safe10

Flex13

Floor18

Dart18

Width is tier size · height is average projected PPG · the drops between bars are the value cliffs

150 players · 13 tiers

#	Model	Player	Pos	Tm	Chg	OTS	Risk
GOATs
1	1	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	DET	—	0	Low
2	4	Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL	—	0	Low
3	3	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	—	0	Low
4	5	Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	—	0	Low
The best of the best
5	7	James Cook	RB	BUF	—	0	Low
6	8	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	—	0	Low
7	9	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	—	0	Low
8	6	Puka Nacua	WR	LAR	—	0	High
9	2	Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	—	0	High
can't cut list!
10	17	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	—	0	Low
11	10	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	—	0	Medium
12	12	Chase Brown	RB	CIN	—	0	Low
13	16	Omarion Hampton	RB	LAC	—	0	Low
14	13	Kenneth Walker III	RB	KC	—	0	Medium
15	11	Saquon Barkley	RB	PHI	—	0	Medium
16	24	Ashton Jeanty	RB	LV	—	0	High
17	25	Trey McBride	TE	ARI	—	0	Low
18	27	Brock Bowers	TE	LV	—	0	Low
19	21	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	—	0	Low
20	15	A.J. Brown	WR	NE	—	0	Medium
21	14	De'Von Achane	RB	MIA	—	0	Medium
22	23	Derrick Henry	RB	BAL	—	0	Medium
23	22	Josh Allen	QB	BUF	—	0	Low
on the verge of uncuttable
24	30	George Pickens	WR	DAL	—	0	Low
25	35	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	—	0	Low
26	28	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	—	0	High
27	33	Chris Olave	WR	NO	—	0	Medium
28	32	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	—	0	Medium
29	26	Drake London	WR	ATL	—	0	Medium
30	38	Jaylen Waddle	WR	DEN	—	0	Medium
31	18	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	—	0	Medium
32	37	Lamar Jackson	QB	BAL	—	0	Low
33	20	Jeremiyah Love	RB	ARI	—	0	High
34	29	Javonte Williams	RB	DAL	—	0	Low
Potential stars, with questions
35	36	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	—	0	Medium
36	31	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	—	0	Low
37	49	Colston Loveland	TE	CHI	—	0	Low
38	39	Jadarian Price	RB	SEA	—	0	Low
39	40	Breece Hall	RB	NYJ	—	0	Medium
40	47	D'Andre Swift	RB	CHI	—	0	Medium
41	46	Kyren Williams	RB	LAR	—	0	Low
42	60	Travis Etienne	RB	NO	—	0	Low
43	48	Luther Burden III	WR	CHI	—	0	Medium
44	45	Davante Adams	WR	LAR	—	0	Medium
45	43	Tyler Warren	TE	IND	—	0	Low
46	19	Bucky Irving	RB	TB	—	0	Medium
starters I am very content with
47	55	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	—	0	Low
48	52	Emeka Egbuka	WR	TB	—	0	High
49	53	DJ Moore	WR	BUF	—	0	Medium
50	51	Drake Maye	QB	NE	—	0	Low
51	56	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	—	0	Low
52	58	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	—	0	Low
53	41	Parker Washington	WR	JAX	—	0	Medium
54	54	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	—	0	Low
breakouts.. (if everything goes right)
55	44	Christian Watson	WR	GB	—	0	High
56	34	Cam Skattebo	RB	NYG	—	0	High
57	83	David Montgomery	RB	HOU	—	0	Low
58	59	Caleb Williams	QB	CHI	—	0	Low
59	86	Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	—	0	High
60	63	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	—	0	Medium
61	72	Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	—	0	Medium
62	50	Blake Corum	RB	LAR	—	0	Low
ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?
63	91	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	—	0	Low
64	81	Carnell Tate	WR	TEN	—	0	Low
65	105	Bhayshul Tuten	RB	JAX	—	0	Medium
66	57	TreVeyon Henderson	RB	NE	—	0	Medium
67	42	Quinshon Judkins	RB	CLE	—	0	High
68	67	Mike Evans	WR	SF	—	0	High
69	62	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	—	0	Low
70	165	De'Zhaun Stribling	WR	SF	—	0
71	118	MarShawn Lloyd	RB	GB	—	0	High
72	76	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	ARI	—	0	Low
73	64	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	—	0	Low
74	79	Jordan Mason	RB	MIN	—	0	Low
75	73	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	NE	—	0	Low
76	68	Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	—	0	Low
77	77	Bo Nix	QB	DEN	—	0	Low
78	87	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	TB	—	0	Medium
Flex with Benefits?
79	70	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	—	0	Low
80	74	Harold Fannin Jr.	TE	CLE	—	0	Low
81	80	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	—	0	Medium
82	66	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	—	0	Low
83	95	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	—	0	Medium
84	75	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	—	0	Low
85	93	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	—	0	Low
86	85	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	—	0	Medium
87	92	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	—	0	High
88	69	Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	—	0	Low
89	96	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	—	0	Low
90	107	Brock Purdy	QB	SF	—	0	Low
91	61	Kyler Murray	QB	MIN	—	0	Low
Safe starters - Capped ceiling
92	124	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	—	0	Medium
93	98	Stefon Diggs	WR	WAS	—	0	Medium
94	104	George Kittle	TE	SF	—	0	High
95	100	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	—	0	Medium
96	65	Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	—	0	Low
97	71	Jordan Love	QB	GB	—	0	Low
98	88	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	—	0	Low
99	78	Matthew Stafford	QB	LAR	—	0	Low
100	97	Jared Goff	QB	DET	—	0	Low
101	82	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	—	0	Low
Flex Fill in with Questions
102	106	Matthew Golden	WR	GB	—	0	Medium
103	115	Jonathan Brooks	RB	CAR	—	0	Medium
104	111	RJ Harvey	RB	DEN	—	0	Low
105	94	Jaylen Warren	RB	PIT	—	0	Low
106	99	Rico Dowdle	RB	PIT	—	0	Low
107	121	Tony Pollard	RB	TEN	—	0	Medium
108	127	J.K. Dobbins	RB	DEN	—	0	High
109	116	Baker Mayfield	QB	TB	—	0	Low
110	90	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	—	0	Low
111	123	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	—	0	Low
112	101	Michael Pittman	WR	PIT	—	0	Low
113	112	Jayden Reed	WR	GB	—	0	High
114	183	Isaiah Likely	TE	NYG	—	0	Low
Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poison
115	129	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	—	0	Low
116	156	Jalen Coker	WR	CAR	—	0	Low
117	142	Keenan Allen	WR	IND	—	0	Low
118	131	Josh Downs	WR	IND	—	0	Medium
119	84	Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	TEN	—	0	Low
120	167	Makai Lemon	WR	PHI	—	0	Medium
121	153	KC Concepcion	WR	CLE	—	0	Medium
122	102	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	—	0	Low
123	135	Woody Marks	RB	HOU	—	0	Low
124	152	Kenny Gainwell	RB	TB	—	0	Low
125	122	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB	WAS	—	0	Medium
126	188	Chris Rodriguez Jr.	RB	JAX	—	0	Low
127	132	Aaron Jones	RB	MIN	—	0	High
128	108	Chuba Hubbard	RB	CAR	—	0	Medium
129	110	Jordyn Tyson	WR	NO	—	0	High
130	114	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	—	0	Low
131	117	Juwan Johnson	TE	NO	—	0	Low
132	119	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	—	0	Low
Dart Throws
133	163	Tyler Shough	QB	NO	—	0	Low
134	168	Kayshon Boutte	WR	HOU	—	0	Low
135	146	Kyle Monangai	RB	CHI	—	0	High
136	190	Rachaad White	RB	WAS	—	0	Low
137	177	Jalen McMillan	WR	TB	—	0	Low
138	89	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR	SF	—	0	High
139	137	Daniel Jones	QB	IND	—	0	Medium
140	103	Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	—	0	Low
141	136	Ja'Kobi Lane	WR	BAL	—	0	Low
142	157	Tyjae Spears	RB	TEN	—	0	Low
143	162	Chris Bell	WR	MIA	—	0	Low
144	159	Adonai Mitchell	WR	NYJ	—	0	Low
145	172	Sam Darnold	QB	SEA	—	0	Low
146	143	Emmett Johnson	RB	KC	—	0	Low
147	179	Caleb Douglas	WR	MIA	—	0	Low
148	194	Kaelon Black	RB	SF	—	0	Low
149	126	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	—	0	Low
150	109	Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	—	0	Low

Model = where the projection model had him before judgment · Trend = rank over the last six weeks · Chg =movement, starting next edition — this is the baseline · OTS = Opportunity Trend Score · How we build these

On the Cusp

Ten more I'd have in the conversation, in no order.

Player	Pos	Tm	Risk
Brenton Strange	TE	JAX	Low
C.J. Stroud	QB	HOU	Low
Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	Medium
Chig Okonkwo	TE	WAS	Low
Greg Dulcich	TE	MIA	Low
Hunter Henry	TE	NE	Low
Jalen Nailor	WR	LV	Low
Malik Washington	WR	MIA	Low
Omar Cooper Jr.	WR	NYJ	Low
Tre Tucker	WR	LV	Low

The Flags

Risk is a judgment call, not a model output: Low, Medium or High. Every flag comes with the reason.

Christian McCaffrey High

Age + injury history. Elite if healthy; not a first-round pick for me since I am more risk averse in first round. Playing it safe with an Amon Ra vs the risk of CMC - the risk here is lose your season. Amon Ra is stable and my preference.

Ashton Jeanty High

Ankle to start the year; Washington eats more than consensus expects

#16

Malik Nabers High

Banged up. Do not trust the Giants offense

#26

Chris Olave Medium

Really good this year

#27

Garrett Wilson Medium

Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step

#28

Jaylen Waddle Medium

Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush

#30

Rashee Rice Medium

Middle-tier WR2, not the WR5 the volume implied

#35

Davante Adams Medium

Value at ADP in a top offense

#44

Bucky Irving Medium

I am concerned about Gainwell and Tucker. Bucky is a smaller back, it was always the question, can he sustain the lead? I think Gainwell will take some valuable passing away from him, but ultimately, this was a back we drafted in round 2 last year. He is going too late.

#46

Emeka Egbuka High

Turf toe concern out of camp

#48

Parker Washington Medium

Leads the Jaguars room as the WR2; ahead of Thomas

#53

Cam Skattebo High

Post-injury, offseason distraction, bad OC

#56

Jayden Daniels Medium

Bad camp vibes, older WRs, uninspiring run game. Not at his ADP

#61

Bhayshul Tuten Medium

Explosive, but slow start to the season likely

#65

TreVeyon Henderson Medium

50/50 first half, breakout second half

#66

Mike Evans High

Perfect scheme fit, but injuries all camp

#68

MarShawn Lloyd High

Talented, but extensive injury history. More of a committee than people expect

#71

Chris Godwin Jr. Medium

Value at ADP

#78

Alec Pierce Medium

Slow start expected on health

#81

Patrick Mahomes Medium

Value. Run game + Bieniemy back. No step back

#92

George Kittle High

Old, coming off major injury; projected 14 games — slow ramp

#94

Jonathan Brooks Medium

Even split with Hubbard; neither great

#103

Makai Lemon Medium

Missed camp time; slow start, better back half

#120

Jordyn Tyson High

Second-half breakout candidate

#129