Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · ARI

Michael Wilson

7 targets, 4 for 30, 15%, after 37%, in a 48-attempt game that went to Bourne (8) and McBride (10). One game. Up two anyway; the model has him 32nd.

Alpha target Tier 6 · starters I am very content with Risk · Low
#48Board rank
#32Model rank
WR18Position
75ADP
12.2Proj. PPG
+4.1Over replacement
+27vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #73#71#71#77#66#50#48PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason6473——
Sep 9Week 16471▲ 2—
Sep 16Week 26471—7 targets for 56 with Harrison at 3. The second target in Arizona is him right now.
Sep 23Week 36477▼ 67 targets for 56 with Harrison at 3. The second target in Arizona is him right now.
Oct 1Week 43666▲ 1117 targets, 11 for 89 and a score, after 7 and 7. Brissett throws it 52 times when the Cardinals trail, and they trail. Harrison had 5.
Oct 7Week 51250▲ 1613 targets, 7 for 95; 19% → 27% → 34% → 37%, Brissett's first read for a month now, with Harrison at 11%. The model has him 12th. Up sixteen; Detroit at Arizona is the highest total on the Sunday slate.
Oct 14Week 63248▲ 27 targets, 4 for 30, 15%, after 37%, in a 48-attempt game that went to Bourne (8) and McBride (10). One game. Up two anyway; the model has him 32nd.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
162Targets
1095Rec yds
7.7Rec TD
Signals
I'm in betweenModel 32 · ADP 75 · gap +43

7 targets, 4 for 30, 15%, after four rising weeks; Bourne had 8 and McBride 10. Model 32, market 75, me 48. One game, and the model is still ahead of me on him.