PlayerWide receiver · INDUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · WR · IND
Josh Downs
6 targets, 3 for 47, 14% again (14% → 30% → 31% → 14% → 14%); Allen had 9 back from the groin. Up three; the model has him 93rd, and two straight 14% weeks is why.
Volume WR2
Tier 8 · ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?
Risk · Medium
#65Board rank
#93Model rank
WR42Position
116ADP
8.1Proj. PPG
0.0Over replacement
+51vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 131 | 118 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 131 | 122 | ▼ 4 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 132 | 119 | ▲ 3 | 4 targets for 37 with Pierce back. Risk Medium: Pierce's return caps the slot volume. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 132 | 97 | ▲ 22 | 9 targets for 72 with Pierce on the shelf. The slot volume is his while Pierce is out. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 50 | 84 | ▲ 13 | 11 targets for 77 after 9 for 72, with Pierce on IR for at least four weeks. The slot volume is his for a month. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 51 | 68 | ▲ 16 | 4 targets, 3 for 16, 14%, in a 34-attempt game Treadwell and Dulin split; 14% → 30% → 31% → 14%. Up sixteen anyway: Allen (groin) is out and Pierce is in a cast, so the share comes back to him. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 93 | 65 | ▲ 3 | 6 targets, 3 for 47, 14% again (14% → 30% → 31% → 14% → 14%); Allen had 9 back from the groin. Up three; the model has him 93rd, and two straight 14% weeks is why. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
2Carries
9Rush yds
0.1Rush TD
120Targets
740Rec yds
3.9Rec TD