PlayerQuarterback · LARUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · QB · LAR
Matthew Stafford
54 attempts for 383 and three scores Monday night, 24 of them to Nacua. Up three; the model has him 88th now that the Rams' pace is in.
Tier 11 · Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poison
Risk · Low
#96Board rank
#88Model rank
QB12Position
124ADP
18.0Proj. PPG
+0.1Over replacement
+28vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 78 | 99 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 78 | 98 | ▲ 1 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 80 | 103 | ▼ 5 | 25 attempts, 155 yards, no touchdowns, and Bennett took three snaps. One bad half; I'm still with the model on the environment, a step lower. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 72 | 94 | ▲ 9 | 155 yards and no scores in Week 1 (pressure on 29% of dropbacks), then 327 and four Monday with Nacua out (6%). The model takes the ceiling; I'm a step below it for the age and the weeks the line doesn't hold. QB9 on my board. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 72 | 93 | ▲ 1 | 55 attempts for 390 and two scores in Denver, after 327 and four. Pressure on 29% of dropbacks in Week 1, then 6%, then four sacks; the environment swings and I'm pricing both halves. QB9 on my board. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 64 | 99 | ▼ 6 | 51 attempts for 317, no scores, in a 24-20 win at Philadelphia with Nacua back. Down six; the touchdowns went on the ground (Kyren two, Nacua one). |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 88 | 96 | ▲ 3 | 54 attempts for 383 and three scores Monday night, 24 of them to Nacua. Up three; the model has him 88th now that the Rams' pace is in. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
594Pass att
4440Pass yds
35.0Pass TD
12.8INT
62Rush yds
1.3Rush TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 88 · ADP 124 · gap +36 · PGHI 65.7 (strong)
54 attempts for 383 and three scores Monday night, 24 of them to Nacua; the environment score is strong and the Rams' pace is finally in the model. Model 88, market 124, me 96.