PlayerWide receiver · HOUUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · WR · HOU
Nico Collins
7 targets, 5 for 56, 21%, in a 26-3 win where Houston didn't need him after halftime. Up three; Jacksonville in London next.
Alpha target
Tier 2 · The best of the best
Risk · Low
#17Board rank
#24Model rank
WR12Position
27ADP
13.1Proj. PPG
+5.0Over replacement
+10vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 21 | 19 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 21 | 21 | ▼ 2 | He's going to get a ton of volume in an offense I expect to be better this year. Especially with Higgins out, he should get more. |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 20 | 18 | ▲ 3 | He's going to get a ton of volume in an offense I expect to be better this year. Especially with Higgins out, he should get more. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 26 | 21 | ▼ 3 | Grade 1 hamstring, week to week. Schultz ate the targets without him; the rank holds for the return. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 34 | 26 | ▼ 5 | Two games missed with the Grade 1 hamstring; a decent chance for Sunday against Dallas per Schefter. Held near the model until he's active. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 22 | 20 | ▲ 6 | Back from the hamstring: 8 targets, 7 for 118 and two scores, 31% of the throws. Houston has scored 61 points in his two games and 23 in the two he missed. Up six. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 24 | 17 | ▲ 3 | 7 targets, 5 for 56, 21%, in a 26-3 win where Houston didn't need him after halftime. Up three; Jacksonville in London next. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
2Carries
8Rush yds
0.1Rush TD
159Targets
1351Rec yds
6.3Rec TD