Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · TE · SF

George Kittle

6 targets, 5 for 24, 22%; five straight weeks between 19% and 27%. Up three. High risk is the history.

Featured TE Tier 7 · breakouts.. (if everything goes right) Risk · High
#57Board rank
#53Model rank
TE4Position
99ADP
11.3Proj. PPG
+1.8Over replacement
+42vs. market
14Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #94#94#94#68#64#60#57PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason10494—Old, coming off major injury; projected 14 games — slow ramp
Sep 9Week 110494—Old, coming off major injury; projected 14 games — slow ramp
Sep 16Week 210794—Old, coming off major injury; projected 14 games — slow ramp
Sep 23Week 310768▲ 264 for 80 and a score, every target caught, in a 35-point game. The slow ramp is over; he looks like Kittle.
Oct 1Week 46064▲ 47 targets, 6 for 82 and two scores; three straight weeks up (5, 4, 7 targets). The slow ramp is over.
Oct 7Week 56360▲ 46 targets, 4 for 70 and a score, 21%; four straight weeks between 19% and 27%. Up four. High risk is the history.
Oct 14Week 65357▲ 36 targets, 5 for 24, 22%; five straight weeks between 19% and 27%. Up three. High risk is the history.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

1Carries
3Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
83Targets
777Rec yds
7.9Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 53 · ADP 99 · gap +46