PlayerRunning back · PITUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · RB · PIT
Jaylen Warren
15 for 101 and a score, 6 targets, 6 catches for 87 and a score; 68% of the carries with Dowdle out a third game. Up fifteen. The model has him 17th; the gap is Dowdle's return and McCarthy's word, 'committee'.
Bell cowPass-down role
Tier 5 · Potential stars, with questions
Risk · Low
#42Board rank
#17Model rank
RB10Position
59ADP
16.2Proj. PPG
+6.1Over replacement
+17vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 94 | 105 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 94 | 102 | ▲ 3 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 100 | 104 | ▼ 2 | — |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 104 | 90 | ▲ 14 | Rico is banged up, and clearly the two. Starting RBs hard to come by. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 32 | 65 | ▲ 25 | He takes a jump after his week 3 performance, over 100 yards and may continue to cement himself with Rico out. I am willing to jump him tiers depending what he shows coming up. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 14 | 57 | ▲ 8 | 17 for 93 and 3 catches, 89% of the carries with Dowdle out; 48% → 48% → 74% → 89%. Dowdle (dislocated toe) is 'making progress' and McCarthy says he'll be part of a committee when he's back, so the share comes down from here. Up eight; the model has him 14th. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 17 | 42 | ▲ 15 | 15 for 101 and a score, 6 targets, 6 catches for 87 and a score; 68% of the carries with Dowdle out a third game. Up fifteen. The model has him 17th; the gap is Dowdle's return and McCarthy's word, 'committee'. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
248Carries
1111Rush yds
5.8Rush TD
100Targets
647Rec yds
4.2Rec TD
Signals
I'm in betweenModel 17 · ADP 59 · gap +42 · RCS 65.4 (strong)
15 for 101 and 6 catches for 87 with Dowdle out a third game; RCS strong. Model 17, market 59, me 42. The gap is McCarthy's 'committee' when Dowdle is back, and the model now blends that in and still has him 17th.