Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · NO

Chris Olave

6 targets, 4 for 46, 25%, in a game Shough threw 25 times for 96 yards. The share held; the offense collapsed around it. The model has him 33rd now that the Saints' pace is in; I'm at 16 and nervous about the quarterback for the first time.

Alpha target Tier 2 · The best of the best Risk · Medium
#16Board rank
#33Model rank
WR19Position
24ADP
11.9Proj. PPG
+3.8Over replacement
+8vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #27#26#21#16#16#16#16PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason3327—Really good this year
Sep 9Week 13326▲ 1Really good this year especially without Tyson to start. He was the WR3 last year down the stretch.
Sep 16Week 23221▲ 5Really good this year especially without Tyson to start. He was the WR3 last year down the stretch.
Sep 23Week 33116▲ 5Really good this year especially without Tyson to start. He was the WR3 last year down the stretch.
Oct 1Week 44616—Really good this year especially without Tyson to start. He was the WR3 last year down the stretch.
Oct 7Week 53716—12 targets, 8 for 116; 25% → 31% → 32% → 26% of an offense that throws 48 times because it trails. The model's 37 reads the Saints; I read the share. Medium risk is the turnovers around him.
Oct 14Week 63316—6 targets, 4 for 46, 25%, in a game Shough threw 25 times for 96 yards. The share held; the offense collapsed around it. The model has him 33rd now that the Saints' pace is in; I'm at 16 and nervous about the quarterback for the first time.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
151Targets
1084Rec yds
7.5Rec TD