Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · MIA

Ollie Gordon II

18 for 88 and a score, 53% of the carries, no targets. Bye week. Up sixteen; three straight weeks as the Dolphins' back, and the model has him 47th.

Lead backPass-down role Tier 8 · ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?
#70Board rank
#47Model rank
RB17Position
319ADP
12.7Proj. PPG
+2.6Over replacement
+249vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #90#86#70WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Oct 1Week 45490—Ollie is inheriting what seems to be the lead role in an abysmal Dolphins offense. I don't expect much but do like Ollie as a prospect. Think Judkins, workload and young talent, but not much upside due to team
Oct 7Week 55586▲ 49 carries for 100 and a score, 50% of a run game that had 18 carries; Wright 5. Miami scored 10. Up four; the share is the job, the offense is the cap.
Oct 14Week 64770▲ 1618 for 88 and a score, 53% of the carries, no targets. Bye week. Up sixteen; three straight weeks as the Dolphins' back, and the model has him 47th.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

238Carries
989Rush yds
9.1Rush TD
55Targets
327Rec yds
1.4Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 47 · ADP 319 · gap +272 · RCS 67.9 (strong)

18 for 88 and a score, three straight weeks as the Dolphins' back; RCS strong. Model 47, market 319 (August), me 70. The offense is the cap and the metric doesn't grade offenses.