Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · DEN

RJ Harvey

3 carries, 1 target, after 7 and 10 the week before; Dobbins 18 for 68. Down two; the Week 4 game was the outlier.

CommitteePass-down role Tier 12 · Dart Throws Risk · Low
#107Board rank
#99Model rank
RB29Position
62ADP
9.6Proj. PPG
-0.5Over replacement
-45vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #104#103#110#103#103#105#107PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason111104—Lead back in a breakout offense; Dobbins the change of pace
Sep 9Week 1111103▲ 1Lead back in a breakout offense; Dobbins the change of pace
Sep 16Week 2121110▼ 7Lead back in a breakout offense; Dobbins the change of pace
Sep 23Week 3144103▲ 7Lead back in a breakout offense; Dobbins the change of pace
Oct 1Week 4104103—2 carries and 7 targets Sunday night: the passing-down back, not the runner. In half-PPR that's a flex floor, not a lead back.
Oct 7Week 549105▼ 210 targets, 10 for 68, plus 7 carries (32%); 23% → 26% of the targets. Coleman is on IR until Week 7. The model has him 49th and the half-PPR floor is real. Down two only on the names around him.
Oct 14Week 699107▼ 23 carries, 1 target, after 7 and 10 the week before; Dobbins 18 for 68. Down two; the Week 4 game was the outlier.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

78Carries
277Rush yds
2.4Rush TD
98Targets
551Rec yds
4.7Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 99 · ADP 62 · gap -37 · RCS 37.2 (weak)

3 carries and 1 target after the 10-target game; RCS scores a passing-down back weak by design. Model 99, market 62, me 107. The Week 4 game was the outlier.