PlayerRunning back · DENUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · RB · DEN
J.K. Dobbins
18 for 68 and a score, 62% of the carries; Harvey 3. 36% → 68% → 50% → 62%. Up sixteen; high risk is the age and the week Harvey gets 10 targets again.
Lead back
Tier 10 · Flex Fill in with Questions
Risk · High
#88Board rank
#92Model rank
RB28Position
78ADP
10.1Proj. PPG
0.0Over replacement
-10vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 127 | 108 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 127 | 105 | ▲ 3 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 140 | 106 | ▼ 1 | 8 carries led the backfield to Harvey's 3, in a 15-carry game. The order is Dobbins first; risk High is the injury history. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 172 | 100 | ▲ 6 | First in the order both weeks, then a hamstring in the third quarter Sunday (10 for 36 before it). Payton says he and Harvey both have a chance for the Rams; the High flag is the hamstring, not the order. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 87 | 100 | — | 17 carries for 49 back from the hamstring, 68% of the room, with Harvey the passing-down back (2 carries, 7 targets) and Coleman on IR. First in the order; High risk is the medical file. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 92 | 104 | ▼ 4 | 11 for 40, 50% (53% → 36% → 68% → 50%); Harvey 7 carries and 10 targets. High risk is the split and the age. Down four. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 92 | 88 | ▲ 16 | 18 for 68 and a score, 62% of the carries; Harvey 3. 36% → 68% → 50% → 62%. Up sixteen; high risk is the age and the week Harvey gets 10 targets again. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
242Carries
1036Rush yds
6.3Rush TD
27Targets
143Rec yds
0.8Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 92 · ADP 78 · gap -14 · RCS 42.8 (weak)
18 for 68 and a score, 62% of the carries; RCS weak on the season mean, which hasn't caught up to two straight lead-back weeks. Model 92, market 78, me 88.