Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · SF

Kaelon Black

6 carries for 16; McCaffrey 11. The handcuff. Up two on the fallers.

Committee Tier 10 · Flex Fill in with Questions Risk · Low
#95Board rank
#217Model rank
RB59Position
216ADP
4.6Proj. PPG
-5.5Over replacement
+121vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #148#143#126#99#96#97#95PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason194148——
Sep 9Week 1194143▲ 5—
Sep 16Week 2165126▲ 1714 carries to McCaffrey's 10, 47% of the backfield in Melbourne. The only handcuff already splitting the work.
Sep 23Week 318399▲ 277 carries on the groin after 14 in Melbourne, and McCaffrey is still at 10 a game. The handcuff with the clearest standalone path in the league.
Oct 1Week 422296▲ 37 carries on the groin after 14 in Melbourne, and McCaffrey is still at 10 a game. The handcuff with the clearest standalone path in the league.
Oct 7Week 522997▼ 16 carries for 13; McCaffrey 15, Purdy 10. The handcuff. Holding.
Oct 14Week 621795▲ 26 carries for 16; McCaffrey 11. The handcuff. Up two on the fallers.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

95Carries
411Rush yds
2.5Rush TD
15Targets
104Rec yds
0.8Rec TD