Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · QB · LAC · last ranked Week 5

Justin Herbert

31 attempts for 189 and a score in a 30-23 loss at Seattle; 816 yards in four games. Down 17; the offense is 0-4 and McConkey is hurt.

Tier 13 · Dart Throws Risk · Low
#126Board rank
#75Model rank
QB13Position
88ADP
17.2Proj. PPG
+0.5Over replacement
-38vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #85#84#100#108#109#126PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason9385——
Sep 9Week 19384▲ 1—
Sep 16Week 287100▼ 1627 attempts, 209 yards, in a home loss to Arizona. The offense stalled; I'm not moving him for one game.
Sep 23Week 386108▼ 827 attempts, 209 yards, in a home loss to Arizona. The offense stalled; I'm not moving him for one game.
Oct 1Week 481109▼ 134 attempts, 226 yards, one score in a 24-16 loss at Buffalo. Three games, 627 yards. The offense is the issue, not the arm.
Oct 7Week 575126▼ 1731 attempts for 189 and a score in a 30-23 loss at Seattle; 816 yards in four games. Down 17; the offense is 0-4 and McConkey is hurt.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

535Pass att
3757Pass yds
25.0Pass TD
12.6INT
453Rush yds
3.7Rush TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 75 · ADP 88 · gap +13 · PGHI 46 (weak)