Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · DEN

Jaylen Waddle

5 targets, 2 for 19, 23% of a 22-attempt game; Nix threw 27 times for 123. Down ten; the Broncos' passing game is the issue, not his share.

Volume WR2 Tier 6 · starters I am very content with Risk · Medium
#53Board rank
#81Model rank
WR39Position
47ADP
8.5Proj. PPG
+0.4Over replacement
-6vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #30#28#40#35#39#43#53PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason3830—Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush
Sep 9Week 13828▲ 2Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush.
Sep 16Week 23840▼ 12Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush.
Sep 23Week 33835▲ 5Denver breakout offense; expect him to crush.
Oct 1Week 47439▼ 47 targets, 2 catches for 10 Sunday night after 8 for 138. Nix threw 34 times and found Harvey (7 targets) and Sutton. Medium risk; the week-to-week is wide.
Oct 7Week 57643▼ 46 targets, 5 for 35 and a score, 16%; 11% → 34% → 23% → 16%. Nix threw 42 times and Harvey caught 10 of them. Down four; medium risk is a four-way split.
Oct 14Week 68153▼ 105 targets, 2 for 19, 23% of a 22-attempt game; Nix threw 27 times for 123. Down ten; the Broncos' passing game is the issue, not his share.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
109Targets
825Rec yds
4.9Rec TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 81 · ADP 47 · gap -34