Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · CIN

Chase Brown

13 carries to Perine's 14, 42% of the backfield; 87% → 72% → 60% → 42%. 4 targets after 11. Bye week. Down eleven; the committee is real now.

Lead backPass-down role Tier 4 · on the verge of uncuttable Risk · Low
#33Board rank
#36Model rank
RB14Position
15ADP
13.6Proj. PPG
+3.5Over replacement
-18vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #12#14#13#18#19#22#33PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason1212——
Sep 9Week 11214▼ 2Slow start to last season but then turned it on. To me, with Chase and Higgins, he does have potential to get phased about a bit more than other backs ahead, which is why I prefer them. He is as solid as they come though.
Sep 16Week 21313▲ 1Slow start to last season but then turned it on. To me, with Chase and Higgins, he does have potential to get phased about a bit more than other backs ahead, which is why I prefer them. He is as solid as they come though.
Sep 23Week 31018▼ 5Slow start to last season but then turned it on. To me, with Chase and Higgins, he does have potential to get phased about a bit more than other backs ahead, which is why I prefer them. He is as solid as they come though.
Oct 1Week 4919▼ 1Slow start to last season but then turned it on. To me, with Chase and Higgins, he does have potential to get phased about a bit more than other backs ahead, which is why I prefer them. He is as solid as they come though.
Oct 7Week 51822▼ 39 carries for 10 yards, but 11 targets and 11 catches for 71: 60% of the carries (87% → 72% → 60%) and 21% of the targets in a 54-attempt game. The receiving role is the floor; the Bengals' run game isn't working. Down three.
Oct 14Week 63633▼ 1113 carries to Perine's 14, 42% of the backfield; 87% → 72% → 60% → 42%. 4 targets after 11. Bye week. Down eleven; the committee is real now.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

224Carries
887Rush yds
5.9Rush TD
83Targets
470Rec yds
4.3Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 36 · ADP 15 · gap -21 · RCS 69.3 (strong)

RCS still scores the role strong; the shares say 87% → 72% → 60% → 42% and Perine had 14 carries. Model 36, market 15, me 33. The metric reads the first month; the share reads the last two weeks.