Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · DET

Amon-Ra St. Brown

11 targets, 6 for 69, 38% of Detroit's throws after a 22% week. Bye week. The model has him 11th and I'm at 8; the gap is one game of TeSlaa.

Alpha target Tier 1 · GOATs Risk · Low
#8Board rank
#11Model rank
WR4Position
12ADP
15.3Proj. PPG
+7.3Over replacement
+4vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #7#7#5#6#6#8#8PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason97——
Sep 9Week 197—Always reliable, always good, plays through injury. Everything you could want from your first round pick.
Sep 16Week 2115▲ 2Always reliable, always good, plays through injury. Everything you could want from your first round pick.
Sep 23Week 3136▼ 1Always reliable, always good, plays through injury. Everything you could want from your first round pick.
Oct 1Week 4126—Always reliable, always good, plays through injury. Everything you could want from your first round pick.
Oct 7Week 5368▼ 211 targets, 8 for 75; 36% → 34% → 26% → 22% while LaPorta (13) and TeSlaa (8) ate. The model's 36 is the trend. I'm at 8 because a slot receiver in a 52-attempt offense doesn't lose the job in October.
Oct 14Week 6118—11 targets, 6 for 69, 38% of Detroit's throws after a 22% week. Bye week. The model has him 11th and I'm at 8; the gap is one game of TeSlaa.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

3Carries
13Rush yds
0.2Rush TD
177Targets
1392Rec yds
10.1Rec TD