PlayerQuarterback · CHIUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · QB · CHI · Week 6: IR taxi squad, #65 if healthy
Caleb Williams
Grade 2 hamstring, three games missed; 'pushing to play' at Atlanta per Rapoport. 65th if healthy; the model carries him at 0.87 of the attempts now (one more game out, then the job).
Tier 8 · ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out?
Risk · Low
#74Board rank
#128Model rank
QB17Position
86ADP
15.3Proj. PPG
-1.3Over replacement
+12vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 59 | 58 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 59 | 58 | — | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 59 | 59 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 55 | 73 | ▼ 14 | Injury + Volatility: Week to Week |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 128 | 74 | ▼ 1 | Grade 2 hamstring, three to four weeks. Keenum started Monday and the offense scored 27. The rank assumes he's back by Week 7; the model's 128 is the weeks he misses. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
458Pass att
3214Pass yds
22.3Pass TD
7.3INT
345Rush yds
3.4Rush TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 128 · ADP 86 · gap -42 · PGHI 61.1 (neutral)