Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · CIN

Tee Higgins

4 targets, 2 for 22, 13%, with Chase back. Bye week. Down one; the Week 4 game was Chase's absence, and the model's 20th still likes the offense more than I do.

Volume WR2 Tier 4 · on the verge of uncuttable Risk · Medium
#37Board rank
#20Model rank
WR9Position
44ADP
14.1Proj. PPG
+6.0Over replacement
+7vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #31#31#36#42#38#36#37PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason1831——
Sep 9Week 11831—The model loves Tee Higgins this year as the offense should crush. Let this be his ceiling. He is always hurt, if you told me he would play a full season, I would have him up a tier easily. I don't buy it, so for me he sits with Nabers at questions.
Sep 16Week 21836▼ 5The model loves Tee Higgins this year as the offense should crush. Let this be his ceiling. He is always hurt, if you told me he would play a full season, I would have him up a tier easily. I don't buy it, so for me he sits with Nabers at questions.
Sep 23Week 31142▼ 6The model loves Tee Higgins this year as the offense should crush. Let this be his ceiling. He is always hurt, if you told me he would play a full season, I would have him up a tier easily. I don't buy it, so for me he sits with Nabers at questions.
Oct 1Week 41038▲ 4The model loves Tee Higgins this year as the offense should crush. Let this be his ceiling. He is always hurt, if you told me he would play a full season, I would have him up a tier easily. I don't buy it, so for me he sits with Nabers at questions.
Oct 7Week 51136▲ 216 targets, 11 for 157 with Chase out after the second quarter. Adductor, day to day, update Wednesday. The model has him 11th. Up two; if Chase misses Miami, Higgins is a top-15 play this week.
Oct 14Week 62037▼ 14 targets, 2 for 22, 13%, with Chase back. Bye week. Down one; the Week 4 game was Chase's absence, and the model's 20th still likes the offense more than I do.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
142Targets
1241Rec yds
11.6Rec TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 20 · ADP 44 · gap +24