PlayerRunning back · BALUpdated September 4, 2026
Player · RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
Where the model has him, where the board put him, and every edition in between.
Bell cow
Tier 3 · can't cut list!
Risk · Medium
#22Board rank
#23Model rank
RB13Position
7ADP
13.9Proj. PPG
+3.9Over replacement
-15vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 23 | 22 | — | — |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
278Carries
1382Rush yds
10.8Rush TD
25Targets
164Rec yds
1.3Rec TD
Signals
Share-driven gap, no metricModel 23 · ADP 7 · gap -16 · RCS 55.9 (neutral)