Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · GB

Christian Watson

The paragraph I owe him: I said sell at 10% of the throws, and he had 8 targets, 6 for 143 and two scores (26%), with Golden at 7 for 123 beside him. Holding at 26; high risk is the week-to-week shape of that passing game.

Volume WR2 Tier 4 · on the verge of uncuttable Risk · High
#26Board rank
#25Model rank
WR13Position
67ADP
13.1Proj. PPG
+5.0Over replacement
+41vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #55#55#39#30#29#27#26PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason4455——
Sep 9Week 14455——
Sep 16Week 24239▲ 16147 yards and two scores on 8 targets. Risk High is the knee history and a target tree with Golden at 12 and Kraft at 6.
Sep 23Week 31830▲ 9147 yards and two scores on 8 targets. Risk High is the knee history and a target tree with Golden at 12 and Kraft at 6.
Oct 1Week 41729▲ 1147 yards and two scores on 8 targets. Risk High is the knee history and a target tree with Golden at 12 and Kraft at 6.
Oct 7Week 54327▲ 23 targets, 3 for 47; 38% → 20% → 10% of the throws, with Golden and Kraft at 7 each. Up two anyway because the receivers around him fell further. High risk is the share this week, not the knee.
Oct 14Week 62526▲ 1The paragraph I owe him: I said sell at 10% of the throws, and he had 8 targets, 6 for 143 and two scores (26%), with Golden at 7 for 123 beside him. Holding at 26; high risk is the week-to-week shape of that passing game.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

1Carries
5Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
133Targets
1266Rec yds
9.1Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 25 · ADP 67 · gap +42