Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · QB · SF

Brock Purdy

29 for 189 and two scores in a 32-29 win at Seattle; thirteen passing touchdowns in five games. Down one on Burrow passing him; Washington on Monday night.

Tier 6 · starters I am very content with Risk · Low
#50Board rank
#68Model rank
QB6Position
112ADP
18.8Proj. PPG
+0.9Over replacement
+62vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #90#86#84#63#51#49#50PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason10790—Value if healthy. Evans, CMC, Kittle back, Stribling impressive
Sep 9Week 110786▲ 4Value if healthy. Evans, CMC, Kittle back, Stribling impressive
Sep 16Week 210584▲ 2Value if healthy. Evans, CMC, Kittle back, Stribling impressive
Sep 23Week 310363▲ 2120 of 22 for 287 and two scores, plus one on the ground. Two clean games; the offense looks whole.
Oct 1Week 49251▲ 1227 attempts for 297 and four scores; nine passing touchdowns in three clean games. The model has him 92nd because it's reading last year's touchdown rate. I'm not.
Oct 7Week 59349▲ 230 for 218 and two scores, plus 10 carries; eleven passing touchdowns in four games. The model's 93 is the same last-year problem Mahomes has. Up two.
Oct 14Week 66850▼ 129 for 189 and two scores in a 32-29 win at Seattle; thirteen passing touchdowns in five games. Down one on Burrow passing him; Washington on Monday night.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

473Pass att
3727Pass yds
33.9Pass TD
9.9INT
303Rush yds
4.1Rush TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 68 · ADP 112 · gap +44 · PGHI 53.8 (weak)