Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · QB · NE

Drake Maye

34 for 374 and four scores, plus 25 yards and a rushing score, in a 45-17 win over the Raiders. Up five; the model has him 71st and I'm at 67, the first week we agree.

Tier 8 · ambiguity and Upside.. what wins out? Risk · Low
#67Board rank
#71Model rank
QB8Position
55ADP
18.7Proj. PPG
+0.8Over replacement
-12vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #50#50#55#57#69#72#67PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason5150——
Sep 9Week 15150—MVP runner up. He is so efficient. Rushes a decent amount too. Now gets AJB. My QB3
Sep 16Week 26155▼ 5MVP runner up. He is so efficient. Rushes a decent amount too. Now gets AJB. My QB3
Sep 23Week 37357▼ 2MVP runner up. He is so efficient. Rushes a decent amount too. Now gets AJB. My QB3
Oct 1Week 44769▼ 1225 attempts for 199, no scores, pulled late in a 35-6 loss at Jacksonville; 178 and 208 before that. Three games under 210 yards. I can't rank last year's efficiency.
Oct 7Week 53372▼ 337 for 269 and three scores plus 54 rushing yards in a 29-26 win over Buffalo, his best game of the year. The model has him 33rd. Down three on the fallers around him; I'm still a step behind the model.
Oct 14Week 67167▲ 534 for 374 and four scores, plus 25 yards and a rushing score, in a 45-17 win over the Raiders. Up five; the model has him 71st and I'm at 67, the first week we agree.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

540Pass att
4417Pass yds
28.8Pass TD
16.3INT
358Rush yds
3.5Rush TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 71 · ADP 55 · gap -16 · PGHI 54.9 (weak)