PlayerWide receiver · BALUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · WR · BAL
Zay Flowers
9 targets, 8 for 53 with Huntley, 29%; 30% → 34% → 29%. The short throws keep the catches up and the yards down until Lamar is back. Holding.
Alpha target
Tier 4 · on the verge of uncuttable
Risk · Low
#32Board rank
#14Model rank
WR5Position
41ADP
14.8Proj. PPG
+6.7Over replacement
+9vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 31 | 36 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 31 | 36 | — | Zay is solid - but I don't see him taking the leap. He doesn't score TDs which is the variable here. He is safe and the TD pendulum could swing his way. But I don't see it. |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 28 | 24 | ▲ 12 | Zay is solid - but I don't see him taking the leap. He doesn't score TDs which is the variable here. He is safe and the TD pendulum could swing his way. But I don't see it. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 32 | 33 | ▼ 9 | Missed Week 2 with the hamstring after 150 and a score in the opener; limited Friday, hopeful for Sunday. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 28 | 32 | ▲ 1 | Back from the hamstring: 6 targets, 5 for 84, plus a 20-yard run. The 150-yard opener was the real one. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 20 | 32 | — | 10 targets, 8 for 118 and a score, 34% (30% → 34%). If Huntley starts Sunday night the throws get shorter, which helps the catches and hurts the yards. Holding. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 14 | 32 | — | 9 targets, 8 for 53 with Huntley, 29%; 30% → 34% → 29%. The short throws keep the catches up and the yards down until Lamar is back. Holding. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
9Carries
47Rush yds
0.4Rush TD
138Targets
1425Rec yds
8.6Rec TD