PlayerQuarterback · KCUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · QB · KC
Patrick Mahomes
Bye week; 1,037 yards and nine touchdowns through four. The model has him 62nd now (from 95th) with Kansas City's pace in; I'm at 46. Up two.
Tier 6 · starters I am very content with
Risk · Medium
#46Board rank
#62Model rank
QB5Position
109ADP
19.1Proj. PPG
+1.2Over replacement
+63vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 124 | 92 | — | Value. Run game + Bieniemy back. No step back |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 124 | 91 | ▲ 1 | Value. Run game + Bieniemy back. No step back |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 119 | 85 | ▲ 6 | Value. Run game + Bieniemy back. No step back |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 156 | 56 | ▲ 29 | 47 attempts for 382 and three scores in the overtime win, Kelce back to 11 targets. The model is still working off last year's numbers; I'm not. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 148 | 50 | ▲ 6 | 20 of 24 for 246 and two scores at Miami, after 382; 812 yards and 7 touchdowns in three games. Top-five quarterback on my board; the model is still working off 2025's touchdown rate. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 95 | 48 | ▲ 2 | 30 for 225 and two scores in a 30-27 win; 1,037 yards and nine touchdowns through four. Bye week. The model's 95 is last year's touchdown rate; I'm at 48. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 62 | 46 | ▲ 2 | Bye week; 1,037 yards and nine touchdowns through four. The model has him 62nd now (from 95th) with Kansas City's pace in; I'm at 46. Up two. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
543Pass att
4018Pass yds
30.7Pass TD
10.2INT
343Rush yds
4.3Rush TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 62 · ADP 109 · gap +47 · PGHI 61.6 (neutral)