Garrett Wilson

11 targets, 7 for 104 and a score, 38% of the throws, a week after the 15-attempt game. The share was never the problem. Up three; at New England as a 7-point dog, which is a throwing script.

Alpha target Tier 3 · can't cut list! Risk · Medium

#22Board rank

#19Model rank

WR8Position

36ADP

14.1Proj. PPG

+6.1Over replacement

+14vs. market

17Games projected

Rank, Every Edition

Date	Edition	Model	Board	Chg	The note that week
Sep 4	Preseason	32	28	—	Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step
Sep 9	Week 1	32	27	▲ 1	Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step forward with Geno. Wilson was dominating last year even in one of the worst passing attacks ever. This should improve this year, and he stands to benefit.
Sep 16	Week 2	31	33	▼ 6	Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step forward with Geno. Wilson was dominating last year even in one of the worst passing attacks ever. This should improve this year, and he stands to benefit.
Sep 23	Week 3	34	26	▲ 7	Bold: top-15 WR. Jets offense takes a step forward with Geno. Wilson was dominating last year even in one of the worst passing attacks ever. This should improve this year, and he stands to benefit.
Oct 1	Week 4	35	25	▲ 1	13 targets, 10 for 107 and a score; WR10 on my board, and the Jets' offense goes through him with Hall out and Mitchell hurt. Medium risk is a 35-year-old quarterback, not the role.
Oct 7	Week 5	28	25	—	4 targets, 3 for 27, in a game the Jets threw 15 times (fifteen). 27% of nothing; the share is fine, the game plan wasn't. Holding. Medium risk is a 15-attempt offense.
Oct 14	Week 6	19	22	▲ 3	11 targets, 7 for 104 and a score, 38% of the throws, a week after the 15-attempt game. The share was never the problem. Up three; at New England as a 7-point dog, which is a throwing script.

Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.

The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

0Carries

0Rush yds

0.0Rush TD

172Targets

1271Rec yds

9.4Rec TD

Signals

I'm with the modelModel 19 · ADP 36 · gap +17

All of this week's signals

Written About

The Ledger, Week 4: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire

Kyren Williams, Isaiah Likely, Carnell Tate and Michael Wilson to buy. Hampton, Parker Washington, Christian Watson and Kincaid to sell. Chase, Jefferson, Lamar and Bijan to hold, with the Flag Plant on injured reserve. On the wire: Emanuel Wilson first, then Shipley, Keaton Mitchell, Hockenson and a tight end or two.

Oct 7

The Ledger, Week 3: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire

Jeremiyah Love, Jaylen Warren and Brock Bowers to buy. The Bucs passing game and Brian Thomas Jr. to sell. Price, Tet, Kyren and the Bears to hold, with the Flag Plant graded in public. On the wire: Ollie Gordon first, then Sadiq, Raymond, Meyers and Keenan Allen.

Sep 30

The Ledger, Week 2: Buy, Sell, Hold, The Wire

The Panthers and Garrett Wilson to buy. Herbert's offense and Stefon Diggs to sell. The Bears, the Bucs receivers and the rookie backs to hold. On the wire: Adonai Mitchell, Jonah Coleman, a Gadsden flyer, and it's fine to drop Stribling.

Sep 22

Three Bold Predictions for 2026

Price over Walker, Purdy over Daniels, and Kenyon Sadiq as this year's second-half tight end. Each one has a number behind it and a rule for grading it, and all three go in the Receipts every Monday until January.

Sep 8

Five Players I Kept Drafting This Summer

Waddle, Garrett Wilson, Parker Washington, Blake Corum and Jordan Addison, graded on production, talent, situation and price. Plus one I would be stashing if he were healthy.

Sep 7

The Receiver Room

22	Garrett Wilson	33%
—	Nobody else from NYJ at WR is on the board

Targets share of NYJ's 522 projected targets

The Newsletter

One email a week during the season, the morning the rankings publish.