Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · ATL

Bijan Robinson

17 for 86 and 7 targets (4 for 32), 65% of the carries, in a 30-23 overtime loss. Penix took a rib shot late and is questionable; Tua finished the game. The volume is fine; the offense around him is this week's question.

Bell cowPass-down role Tier 1 · GOATs Risk · Low
#2Board rank
#4Model rank
RB3Position
2ADP
20.2Proj. PPG
+10.2Over replacement
0vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #2#2#2#2#2#2#2PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason42—Concerns about the offense, but it was the same situation with Pennix last year. Ultimately, cannot fade him.
Sep 9Week 142—Concerns about the offense, but it was the same situation with Pennix last year. Ultimately, cannot fade him.
Sep 16Week 242—Concerns about the offense, but it was the same situation with Pennix last year. Ultimately, cannot fade him.
Sep 23Week 362—Concerns about the offense, but it was the same situation with Pennix last year. Ultimately, cannot fade him.
Oct 1Week 432—Concerns about the offense, but it was the same situation with Pennix last year. Ultimately, cannot fade him.
Oct 7Week 5102—19 for 145 and two scores, then Brian Robinson took the second half of a 45-24 game (14 carries, three scores). 54% of the carries is the blowout, not a split. The model's 10 is OTS reading the dip; I'm not.
Oct 14Week 642—17 for 86 and 7 targets (4 for 32), 65% of the carries, in a 30-23 overtime loss. Penix took a rib shot late and is questionable; Tua finished the game. The volume is fine; the offense around him is this week's question.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

296Carries
1392Rush yds
12.0Rush TD
102Targets
757Rec yds
3.1Rec TD