PlayerTight end · BUFUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · TE · BUF
Dalton Kincaid
2 targets, 1 for 7, 11%, Monday night; 21% → 29% → 12% → 7% → 11%. Down thirteen more; the Week 2 game was the outlier.
Tier 10 · Flex Fill in with Questions
Risk · Low
#86Board rank
#145Model rank
TE21Position
100ADP
7.1Proj. PPG
-2.5Over replacement
+14vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 65 | 96 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 65 | 97 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 66 | 72 | ▲ 25 | The usage was promising! This is always what we have wanted for him. Let's hope this continues going forward, and we are adjusting as if it will right now. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 66 | 46 | ▲ 26 | 8 targets, 7 catches for 95 and a score against the Lions. This is the usage we always wanted; two games in, it's holding. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 59 | 43 | ▲ 3 | 3 targets for 38 after 8 and 6; Buffalo threw 26 times and gave Cook 24 carries. One quiet week; the usage over three weeks is still the best of his career. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 145 | 73 | ▼ 30 | 2 targets, 1 for 7; 21% → 29% → 12% → 7%. Shakir (8) and Coleman (7) are the targets now. Down 30. The Week 2 usage was the outlier, not the baseline. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 145 | 86 | ▼ 13 | 2 targets, 1 for 7, 11%, Monday night; 21% → 29% → 12% → 7% → 11%. Down thirteen more; the Week 2 game was the outlier. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
64Targets
692Rec yds
4.5Rec TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 145 · ADP 100 · gap -45
2 targets again Monday night; 21% → 29% → 12% → 7% → 11%. Model 145, market 100, me 86. The Week 2 game was the outlier and I'm most of the way to saying so.