PlayerQuarterback · DENUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · QB · DEN
Bo Nix
27 attempts for 123 and a score in a 23-17 win at the Chargers. Up one on the fallers; 5.1 yards an attempt two weeks running.
Tier 12 · Dart Throws
Risk · Low
#105Board rank
#136Model rank
QB18Position
121ADP
15.7Proj. PPG
-2.1Over replacement
+16vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 77 | 77 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 77 | 73 | ▲ 4 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 75 | 99 | ▼ 26 | 28 attempts for 131 in a game Denver never got going. One game, and I was with the model on him for a reason; holding a step lower. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 90 | 96 | ▲ 3 | 28 attempts for 131 in a game Denver never got going. One game, and I was with the model on him for a reason; holding a step lower. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 69 | 98 | ▼ 2 | 28 attempts for 131 in a game Denver never got going. One game, and I was with the model on him for a reason; holding a step lower. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 66 | 106 | ▼ 8 | 42 attempts for 214 and a score in a 24-14 loss at San Francisco. Down eight; the volume is there and 5.1 yards an attempt isn't. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 136 | 105 | ▲ 1 | 27 attempts for 123 and a score in a 23-17 win at the Chargers. Up one on the fallers; 5.1 yards an attempt two weeks running. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
569Pass att
3582Pass yds
23.7Pass TD
10.8INT
291Rush yds
3.4Rush TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 136 · ADP 121 · gap -15 · PGHI 53.6 (weak)