Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · SEA

Emanuel Wilson

20 for 61 and a score, 77% of the carries (50% → 64% → 77%) with Price on IR until Week 8 at the earliest. Up eighteen. The model had him 17th on a flat 66% share and has him 63rd now that the share blends Price's and Charbonnet's return in; I'm at 101 for the same reason.

Lead back Tier 11 · Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poison
#101Board rank
#63Model rank
RB24Position
222ADP
11.2Proj. PPG
+1.2Over replacement
+121vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #150#149#119#101WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 23Week 3230150——
Oct 1Week 4154149▲ 121 carries, then 9 of 18 while Price fumbled; the early downs are his until Price holds the ball.
Oct 7Week 58119▲ 3021 carries for 81 and a score, 3 catches for 39 and a score; 64% of the carries (52% → 50% → 64%), and Price is on IR until Week 8 at the earliest. The model's 8 is OTS at +100 on top of the share I just gave him. Up 30 to 119; I'll admit that's conservative for a month of the job.
Oct 14Week 663101▲ 1820 for 61 and a score, 77% of the carries (50% → 64% → 77%) with Price on IR until Week 8 at the earliest. Up eighteen. The model had him 17th on a flat 66% share and has him 63rd now that the share blends Price's and Charbonnet's return in; I'm at 101 for the same reason.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

235Carries
948Rush yds
7.8Rush TD
35Targets
245Rec yds
1.8Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 63 · ADP 222 · gap +159 · RCS 63.8 (strong)

Last week the model had him 8th and I said the trend metric was counting the same games twice. Fixed, and with Price's return blended into the share he's 63rd, which is a number I can argue with. RCS still scores the role strong. Me 101, market 222.