PlayerTight end · HOUUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · TE · HOU · last ranked Week 5
Dalton Schultz
2 targets, 2 for 9 with Collins back; 12% → 8%. Down nine. The window closed.
Tier 13 · Dart Throws
Risk · Low
#131Board rank
#213Model rank
TE39Position
137ADP
4.0Proj. PPG
-6.0Over replacement
+6vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 103 | 140 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 103 | 145 | ▼ 5 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 106 | 148 | ▼ 3 | 8 targets for 35 with Collins at 10. The model sees the volume; I see a tight end who needs touchdowns he doesn't get. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 97 | 122 | ▲ 26 | 12 of 14 targets for 140 with Collins out (hamstring, week to week). A streamer while Collins sits, more if the share holds when he's back. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 141 | 122 | — | 12 of 14 targets for 140 with Collins out (hamstring, week to week). A streamer while Collins sits, more if the share holds when he's back. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 213 | 131 | ▼ 9 | 2 targets, 2 for 9 with Collins back; 12% → 8%. Down nine. The window closed. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
50Targets
350Rec yds
2.3Rec TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 213 · ADP 137 · gap -76 · OTS -49 (weak)