PlayerTight end · NYGUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · TE · NYG
Isaiah Likely
13 targets, 11 for 94 and two scores, 25%, a week after 12 targets. Winston throws to the tight end and the model has him 42nd. Up eleven to 52; if this is the role, he's still too low. New Orleans next.
Alpha target
Tier 6 · starters I am very content with
Risk · Low
#52Board rank
#42Model rank
TE3Position
103ADP
12.6Proj. PPG
+3.0Over replacement
+51vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 183 | 114 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 183 | 101 | ▲ 13 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 122 | 48 | ▲ 53 | 8 of 29 targets, both touchdowns, in his first game as Dart's tight end. One game, but the red-zone role is the part that lasts. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 60 | 60 | ▼ 12 | 10 of 32 targets, two straight weeks leading the Giants, and now Winston is throwing after Dart's knee. The share is real; the quarterback is the question. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 75 | 67 | ▼ 7 | 5 targets, 2 for 13 with Winston throwing 22 times, after 8 and 10. The share was Dart's; the volume went with him. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 38 | 63 | ▲ 4 | 12 targets, 7 for 66; 28% → 31% → 24% → 41%. Winston throws to the tight end. The model has him 38th. Up four. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 42 | 52 | ▲ 11 | 13 targets, 11 for 94 and two scores, 25%, a week after 12 targets. Winston throws to the tight end and the model has him 42nd. Up eleven to 52; if this is the role, he's still too low. New Orleans next. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
157Targets
1139Rec yds
7.3Rec TD
Signals
I'm with the modelModel 42 · ADP 103 · gap +61
13 targets, 11 for 94 and two scores, a week after 12 targets; no metric speaks, the share does. Model 42, market 103, me 52 after an eleven-spot move. Still probably low.