PlayerWide receiver · JAXUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · WR · JAX · last ranked Week 5
Brian Thomas Jr.
2 targets, 2 for 17 and a score; 14% → 29% → 4% → 9%. Strange had 8, Meyers 4. Holding; medium risk until the share says otherwise.
Tier 12 · Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poison
Risk · Medium
#116Board rank
#163Model rank
WR73Position
85ADP
5.2Proj. PPG
-3.6Over replacement
-31vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 95 | 83 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 95 | 87 | ▼ 4 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 95 | 92 | ▼ 5 | 3 targets for 40 and a shoulder that had him questionable to return. Risk Medium is the shoulder. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 96 | 87 | ▲ 5 | 3 targets for 40 and a shoulder that had him questionable to return. Risk Medium is the shoulder. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 162 | 116 | ▼ 29 | One target and 23 snaps, to Washington's and Meyers's 50, with no injury designation. That's a coaching decision in a 35-6 win. Medium risk until the snaps come back. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 163 | 116 | — | 2 targets, 2 for 17 and a score; 14% → 29% → 4% → 9%. Strange had 8, Meyers 4. Holding; medium risk until the share says otherwise. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
3Carries
14Rush yds
0.1Rush TD
67Targets
494Rec yds
3.0Rec TD