PlayerRunning back · MINUpdated September 4, 2026
Player · RB · MIN
Aaron Jones
Where the model has him, where the board put him, and every edition in between.
CommitteePass-down role
Tier 12 · Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poison
Risk · High
#127Board rank
#132Model rank
RB38Position
85ADP
8.4Proj. PPG
-1.7Over replacement
-42vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 132 | 127 | — | — |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
121Carries
482Rush yds
3.4Rush TD
62Targets
380Rec yds
2.4Rec TD
Signals
Metric and shares disagreeModel 132 · ADP 85 · gap -47 · RCS 65.2 (strong)