Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · LV

Ashton Jeanty

10 for 27 and 6 targets (3 for 50), 56% of the carries, in a game the Raiders trailed by 28 at the half; 72% → 70% → 58% → 56%. Down two. Buffalo next as a 6-point dog, which means more catches than carries.

Bell cowPass-down role Tier 2 · The best of the best Risk · Low
#20Board rank
#21Model rank
RB11Position
13ADP
15.9Proj. PPG
+5.8Over replacement
-7vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #16#16#11#17#18#18#20PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason2416—Ankle to start the year; Washington eats more than consensus expects
Sep 9Week 12416—Ankle to start the year; Washington eats more than consensus expects for initial games. I am worried about the offense, but I think that he is a premier talent that ends up shining through and Kubiak knows how to use.
Sep 16Week 22311▲ 5He shut down all the concerns about the ankle and looked amazing. Everything I hoped for him last year. He may be ready for the second season leap and I have him back to where he was preseason for me. I just need to see it in a tougher matchup before he joins the next tier up.
Sep 23Week 31217▼ 6He shut down all the concerns about the ankle and looked amazing. Everything I hoped for him last year. He may be ready for the second season leap and I have him back to where he was preseason for me. I just need to see it in a tougher matchup before he joins the next tier up.
Oct 1Week 41318▼ 1He shut down all the concerns about the ankle and looked amazing. Everything I hoped for him last year. He may be ready for the second season leap and I have him back to where he was preseason for me. I just need to see it in a tougher matchup before he joins the next tier up.
Oct 7Week 52618—15 for 58 and 6 catches for 68 on 8 targets; 58% of the carries (72% → 70% → 58%) in a game the Raiders threw 52 times. The receiving work (17% of the targets) is why the dip doesn't move him.
Oct 14Week 62120▼ 210 for 27 and 6 targets (3 for 50), 56% of the carries, in a game the Raiders trailed by 28 at the half; 72% → 70% → 58% → 56%. Down two. Buffalo next as a 6-point dog, which means more catches than carries.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

275Carries
955Rush yds
9.3Rush TD
103Targets
551Rec yds
4.3Rec TD