Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · RB · CHI · Week 6: IR taxi squad, #81 if healthy

Kyle Monangai

Toe sprain, out Sunday after the 30-carry game; Swift had 9 and Roschon 5. No timetable yet. 81st if healthy; the model's 0.33 share is one game out, then the 1B.

Committee Tier 9 · Flex with Benefits? Risk · High
#82Board rank
#131Model rank
RB36Position
81ADP
8.9Proj. PPG
-1.8Over replacement
-1vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #135#129#97#91#92#82PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason146135——
Sep 9Week 1146129▲ 6—
Sep 16Week 215997▲ 3210 carries for 100 and a score behind Swift's 18. Risk High because the touches depend on Swift's health and the game script, and Sunday had both.
Sep 23Week 316291▲ 6Ten carries in each game, 100 yards and a score, then 47, behind Swift's 18 and 16. With Caleb week to week and Keenum in line for Monday night, the carries may go up while the points don't; a flex with a High flag.
Oct 1Week 418992▼ 1Ten carries in each game, 100 yards and a score, then 47, behind Swift's 18 and 16. With Caleb week to week and Keenum in line for Monday night, the carries may go up while the points don't; a flex with a High flag.
Oct 7Week 513182▲ 1030 for 146 and two scores, 56% of the carries (26% → 32% → 29% → 56%); the thumb imaging showed nothing and Johnson expects him to play. Up ten. High risk is the committee: Swift still had 15.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

185Carries
846Rush yds
5.7Rush TD
33Targets
175Rec yds
0.9Rec TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 131 · ADP 81 · gap -50 · RCS 38.5 (weak)

RCS is a season-to-date mean, so three ten-carry games still outweigh the 30. Model 131, market 81, me 82. The metric catches up if Sunday repeats; I moved first.