PlayerQuarterback · NOUpdated October 14, 2026
Player · QB · NO
Tyler Shough
25 attempts for 96 yards, no scores, in a 23-13 home loss; the Saints ran it 17 times. The volume case took its worst hit. Down six; the model has him 194th and I'm at 93 because 56, 34, 42 and 48 attempts happened too.
Tier 10 · Flex Fill in with Questions
Risk · Low
#93Board rank
#194Model rank
QB24Position
154ADP
13.4Proj. PPG
-4.5Over replacement
+61vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition
| Date | Edition | Model | Board | Chg | The note that week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Preseason | 163 | 133 | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Week 1 | 163 | 135 | ▼ 2 | — |
| Sep 16 | Week 2 | 154 | 123 | ▲ 12 | 56 attempts, 410 yards, three scores and a comeback in Detroit. Superflex starter now; the rank waits for a second game. |
| Sep 23 | Week 3 | 155 | 107 | ▲ 16 | 56 attempts, 410 yards, three scores and a comeback in Detroit. Superflex starter now; the rank waits for a second game. |
| Oct 1 | Week 4 | 144 | 88 | ▲ 19 | 42 attempts, 255 yards and four scores against the Raiders, after 410 in Week 1. Three games, 132 attempts; the volume is real even when the results aren't. The model doesn't trust a second-year quarterback's touchdown rate yet. |
| Oct 7 | Week 5 | 134 | 87 | ▲ 1 | 48 attempts for 286 and a score in a 45-24 loss; 56, 34, 42, 48. The volume is top-three in the league and the results are what they are. Up one. |
| Oct 14 | Week 6 | 194 | 93 | ▼ 6 | 25 attempts for 96 yards, no scores, in a 23-13 home loss; the Saints ran it 17 times. The volume case took its worst hit. Down six; the model has him 194th and I'm at 93 because 56, 34, 42 and 48 attempts happened too. |
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line
Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.
492Pass att
3285Pass yds
21.2Pass TD
11.0INT
159Rush yds
3.0Rush TD
Signals
I disagree with the modelModel 194 · ADP 154 · gap -40 · PGHI 67.1 (strong)
PGHI still likes the environment; 25 attempts for 96 yards said otherwise. Model 194 after the shares and pace were re-read, market 154, me 93. The environment score takes three games to move; my rank takes one more like Sunday.