Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · CHI

Luther Burden III

6 targets, 4 for 47, 15%, in a game two quarterbacks split 40 attempts; 32% → 19% → 15%. Up seven on the fallers; Caleb is 'pushing to play' at Atlanta, which is the whole case.

Volume WR2 Tier 6 · starters I am very content with Risk · Medium
#51Board rank
#38Model rank
WR21Position
40ADP
11.5Proj. PPG
+3.5Over replacement
-11vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #43#43#46#67#60#58#51PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason4843——
Sep 9Week 14843—He was so efficient last year. One thing stuck with me from his rookie year. Preseason last year I was on Rome. And there was a quote that the coaching staff drafted him and sees him as the future WR1 for team. I think that comes to fruition this year.
Sep 16Week 24446▼ 3He was so efficient last year. One thing stuck with me from his rookie year. Preseason last year I was on Rome. And there was a quote that the coaching staff drafted him and sees him as the future WR1 for team. I think that comes to fruition this year.
Sep 23Week 34467▼ 217 targets, 3 catches for 32 in the 3-point game, and now Caleb is week to week. Hold, not a buy, until the quarterback is back.
Oct 1Week 42360▲ 711 targets, 7 for 61 and a score with Keenum, 32% of the targets. The backup throws to the slot. The model (23) is ahead of me; I want a second game of it.
Oct 7Week 53558▲ 26 targets, 4 for 63 with Bagent; 19% → 23% → 32% → 19%. Loveland had 9. Up two; the Bears' slot share bounces week to week with the backup.
Oct 14Week 63851▲ 76 targets, 4 for 47, 15%, in a game two quarterbacks split 40 attempts; 32% → 19% → 15%. Up seven on the fallers; Caleb is 'pushing to play' at Atlanta, which is the whole case.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

7Carries
32Rush yds
0.3Rush TD
129Targets
1160Rec yds
4.7Rec TD