Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · WR · BUF

Khalil Shakir

3 targets, 3 for 80, 17%, in a game Buffalo threw 19 times and Moore sat. Up seventeen on the fallers and the Kincaid collapse; the model has him 75th.

Volume WR2 Tier 11 · Floor and Ceiling Opposites - pick your poison Risk · Low
#100Board rank
#75Model rank
WR35Position
141ADP
8.7Proj. PPG
+0.6Over replacement
+41vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #122#128#138#118#117#117#100PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason102122——
Sep 9Week 1102128▼ 6—
Sep 16Week 2103138▼ 106 targets for 50 with Kincaid and Moore taking the big plays. Steady, capped.
Sep 23Week 3106118▲ 206 targets for 50 with Kincaid and Moore taking the big plays. Steady, capped.
Oct 1Week 4105117▲ 16 targets for 50 with Kincaid and Moore taking the big plays. Steady, capped.
Oct 7Week 572117—8 targets, 7 for 82, 27% (21% → 21% → 12% → 27%); Buffalo's first read with Moore hurt and Kincaid at 2. Holding at 117, which is too low if Moore misses time; the model has him 72nd.
Oct 14Week 675100▲ 173 targets, 3 for 80, 17%, in a game Buffalo threw 19 times and Moore sat. Up seventeen on the fallers and the Kincaid collapse; the model has him 75th.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

0Carries
0Rush yds
0.0Rush TD
101Targets
842Rec yds
4.8Rec TD
Signals
I'm in betweenModel 75 · ADP 141 · gap +66