Vol. I · No. 7 October 14, 2026 Gridiron
Rest-of-season rankings, with the movement shown
MonThe Receiptswhat last week's board got right
TueThe Moversnew rankings, 7am ET
WedSignalswhere the metrics disagree
ThuOne Flaga film note on one player
Player · QB · DET

Jared Goff

30 for 271 and three scores plus a rushing score in a 45-21 win. Bye week. Up six; the model has him 55th now that Detroit's pace is in.

Tier 10 · Flex Fill in with Questions Risk · Low
#92Board rank
#55Model rank
QB3Position
130ADP
19.6Proj. PPG
+1.7Over replacement
+38vs. market
17Games projected
Rank, Every Edition #100#109#107#95#95#98#92PREWK 1WK 2WK 3WK 4WK 5WK 6
DateEditionModelBoardChgThe note that week
Sep 4Preseason97100——
Sep 9Week 197109▼ 9—
Sep 16Week 296107▲ 239 attempts, 206 yards, two scores in a one-point win. The environment is the argument and it didn't change.
Sep 23Week 39295▲ 1239 attempts, 206 yards, two scores in a one-point win. The environment is the argument and it didn't change.
Oct 1Week 48695—39 attempts, 206 yards, two scores in a one-point win. The environment is the argument and it didn't change.
Oct 7Week 57398▼ 352 attempts for 412 and a score in a 32-26 loss at Carolina. The environment is the argument, and Arizona is next in a 54.5 total. Down three on the quarterbacks jumping above him.
Oct 14Week 65592▲ 630 for 271 and three scores plus a rushing score in a 45-21 win. Bye week. Up six; the model has him 55th now that Detroit's pace is in.
Every edition stays. Nothing here is edited after it publishes; the change column is computed from the prior file.
The Projected Line

Share × team total × games. The share is the judgment; the total is the ceiling.

600Pass att
4607Pass yds
35.9Pass TD
5.6INT
86Rush yds
1.3Rush TD
Signals
I'm in betweenModel 55 · ADP 130 · gap +75 · PGHI 66.6 (strong)

The environment score was always strong; the team-total blend finally gives Detroit its 684-attempt pace. Model 55 (from 73), market 130, me 92.